Flandria - Argentino Merlo prediction 14 July 2026

The Flandria vs Argentino Merlo prediction for July 14, 2026, in Argentina's Primera B Metropolitana points to a closely contested match where the visitors hold a slight edge. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Argentino Merlo has a 35% chance of winning, while Flandria sits at 30%, with a 35% probability of a draw.

Flandria vs Argentino Merlo Team Form

Flandria's recent results have been poor. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, one draw, and three losses (D, L, L, L, W). The sole victory came at home against Ituzaingo (3-2) on June 13, but since then they have struggled, including a 1-2 home defeat to Deportivo Laferrere and a 0-2 loss at Brown De Adrogue.

Argentino Merlo, on the other hand, is unbeaten in five away games (W, D, W, W, D). They secured impressive wins over Argentino de Quilmes (3-0), Comunicaciones (3-2), and Dock Sud (3-1), with draws against Defensores Unidos (1-1) and Deportivo Merlo (2-2). This run shows strong attacking form and resilience on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The last four meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with two wins each and no draws. Notably, the home team has won three of those four encounters:

• Mar 03, 2026: Argentino Merlo 2-0 Flandria
• Oct 11, 2025: Flandria 1-0 Argentino Merlo
• May 25, 2025: Argentino Merlo 3-0 Flandria
• Oct 13, 2024: Argentino Merlo 0-2 Flandria

The most recent clash saw Argentino Merlo dominate at home, while Flandria's only home fixture in this span resulted in a 1-0 win. The head-to-head suggests home advantage is significant, but current form may override that trend.

League Table Positions

Argentino Merlo sits 12th in the overall Primera B Metropolitana standings with 27 points from 21 matches (7 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses). Flandria is not among the top 12, indicating a lower position and fewer points. In the home standings, Flandria is also absent from the top 8, while Argentino Merlo does not appear in the top 8 of the away table. Both teams are mid-to-lower table, but Argentino Merlo holds a clear advantage in the overall ranking.

Win Probability: Flandria vs Argentino Merlo Prediction

After normalizing bookmaker odds (home 2.64, draw 2.85, away 3.27) and adjusting for recent form and league positions, the win probabilities are:

• Flandria win: 30%
• Draw: 35%
• Argentino Merlo win: 35%

Flandria's poor run (one win in five) and low table standing reduce their initial implied probability of 36.6%. Argentino Merlo's unbeaten away streak and higher league position boost their chances from the bookmakers' 29.5% to 35%. The draw also gains likelihood given Flandria's instability and Argentino Merlo's two recent draws. Overall, Argentino Merlo is slightly more likely to win, but a stalemate is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds from bookmakers show Flandria as the nominal favorite: a home win is priced around 2.64, a draw at 2.85, and an away win at 3.27. However, these odds do not fully reflect the contrasting form of the two sides. Based on the stats, Argentino Merlo appears to have the momentum, making the draw or an away win the more probable results. Our Flandria vs Argentino Merlo prediction leans towards a double chance on the visitors or a low-scoring draw.