Flaminia Civita Castellana - Real Monterotondo prediction 4 January 2026

The Flaminia Civita Castellana vs Real Monterotondo prediction for their Serie D clash on January 4, 2026, kicks off at 13:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Flaminia Civita Castellana enter as the narrow favorites with a 40% win probability. The draw is priced at 30%, while Real Monterotondo have a 30% chance of causing an upset.

Team Form

Flaminia Civita Castellana have been inconsistent in their last five outings, collecting two wins, two draws, and one defeat. That run includes a 4-0 thrashing of USD Palmese and a 4-2 victory over Montespaccato, but also a 1-0 home loss to Budoni. With eight points from a possible 15, their form guide (D, W, L, D, W) points to a side that can score goals but is prone to lapses at the back.

Real Monterotondo come into this fixture on the back of three consecutive wins, having beaten Cassino 3-1, COS Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-1, and Atletico Lodigiani 2-0. However, their last two away games ended in defeat (1-2 at Anzio Calcio and 0-5 at Valmontone), highlighting a potential travel sickness. Overall, their recent record of three wins and two losses suggests a team that is trending upwards but remains fragile on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these two clubs was in the reverse fixture this season. On September 7, 2025, Flaminia Civita Castellana secured a commanding 4-2 away win over Real Monterotondo. That single H2H result gives Flaminia a clear psychological edge, with one win and no defeats in this fledgling rivalry.

League Table Positions

Neither Flaminia Civita Castellana nor Real Monterotondo appear in the available league standings data. As such, no direct comparison of points, goal difference, or rank can be made. The outcome prediction therefore leans heavily on recent form, the head-to-head record, and the home advantage factor.

Win Probability: Flaminia Civita Castellana or Real Monterotondo?

After weighing the available stats, we assign the following win probabilities for the match:

• Flaminia Civita Castellana win: 40%
• Draw: 30%
• Real Monterotondo win: 30%

The calculation uses the one-sided head-to-head record (Flaminia winning 4-2 away), the overall form trend, and the inherent advantage of playing at home. Although Real Monterotondo have won their last three, the heavy away defeats and H2H deficit drag down their chances. Flaminia’s ability to score on the road in the reverse fixture further solidifies their favourite status, albeit a slim one. The draw probability is elevated due to both teams' recent mixed results.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are currently listed for this Serie D fixture. Based purely on the statistical profile and home advantage, the value leans towards a Flaminia Civita Castellana win or draw double chance. The most likely scoreline, given both sides' defensive vulnerabilities, is a 2-1 home victory. However, the 30% draw chance cannot be overlooked, and fluttering form on both ends makes this a risky match for outright bets.

Prediction: Flaminia Civita Castellana 2-1 Real Monterotondo (home win).