ACS Progresul Mogosoaia - Flacara Moreni prediction 14 November 2025

Our Flacara Moreni vs ACS Progresul Mogosoaia prediction for the Liga III match on Nov 14, 2025 forecasts ACS Progresul Mogosoaia as the favourite with a 55% win probability. Flacara Moreni hosts the contest, but the visitors bring far stronger recent results.

Team Form

Flacara Moreni's recent form is weak: they have recorded just one win in their last five matches (W1 D2 L2). The sequence reads L, D, L, W, D. A 0‑1 home loss against ACS Inainte Modelu (May 16) was followed by a 1‑1 draw at Gloria Popesti Leordeni (May 9). Earlier, they suffered a 3‑4 home defeat to Gloria Popesti Leordeni (Apr 10), beat Olimpic Zarnesti 1‑0 at home (Mar 21), and drew 1‑1 at home with Kids Tampa Brasov (Mar 14). Across these five games, Flacara Moreni scored 6 goals and conceded 8.

ACS Progresul Mogosoaia, by contrast, is in excellent shape with four wins and a single loss in the last five (W4 L1). Their results: a 4‑2 home win over Baicoi (May 16), a 2‑1 away victory against Teleajenul Valenii de Munte (May 9), a 2‑0 home success over Urban Titu (May 1), a 1‑4 away defeat at ACS Vointa 2024 Crevedia (Apr 25), and a 1‑0 home win against Kids Tampa Brasov (Apr 18). The visitors netted 10 goals and conceded 7 in that period.

Head-to-Head Record

Before this fixture, the two sides had met only once. On Sep 5, 2025, Flacara Moreni hosted the match, which ended in a 2‑2 draw. The head‑to‑head record therefore stands evenly balanced with zero wins for either side and one stalemate.

League Table Positions

Neither Flacara Moreni nor ACS Progresul Mogosoaia appears in the provided overall Liga III standings (top 12), the home table (top 8), or the away table (top 8). This suggests both clubs are currently in the lower half of the league, though ACS Progresul Mogosoaia’s recent results indicate an upward momentum.

Win Probability: Flacara Moreni or ACS Progresul Mogosoaia?

We calculated the outcome probabilities based on recent form, head‑to‑head data, home advantage, and league context. The total sums to 100%:

• Flacara Moreni win: 20%
• Draw: 25%
• ACS Progresul Mogosoaia win: 55%

ACS Progresul Mogosoaia’s 80% win rate in the last five games (compared to Flacara Moreni’s 20%) heavily influences the forecast. The head‑to‑head draw adds some uncertainty, and home advantage provides a slight lift for Flacara Moreni, but the visitors are firmly the most likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker odds for this fixture are not available at the time of writing. Based solely on statistical data, ACS Progresul Mogosoaia emerges as the favourite. Our final match prediction leans towards an away victory, though the possibility of a repeat draw cannot be completely dismissed given the only previous meeting. We expect ACS Progresul Mogosoaia to win this Liga III clash.