FK Progress/AFA Olaine - FK Smiltene prediction 13 September 2025
FK Progress/AFA Olaine
FK Smiltene
Rezekne / BJSSFK Progress/AFA OlaineFK Progress/AFA OlaineLeevon PPKMarupeFK Progress/AFA OlaineFK Progress/AFA OlaineSkanstesRiga 2FK Progress/AFA OlaineFK Progress/AFA OlaineJDFS AlbertsRigas Futbola Skola IIFK Progress/AFA OlaineFK Progress/AFA OlaineFK SmilteneFK Progress/AFA OlaineAugsdaugavas NssTukums 2000 BFK Progress/AFA OlaineFK Progress/AFA OlaineOgre UnitedJFK VentspilsFK Progress/AFA OlaineFK Progress/AFA OlaineRezekne / BJSSLeevon PPKFK Progress/AFA OlaineFK Progress/AFA OlaineMarupeFK SmilteneRezekne / BJSSMarupeFK SmilteneFK SmilteneSkanstesRiga 2FK SmilteneTukums 2000 BFK SmilteneFK SmilteneSK Super Nova 2Beitar/Riga MarinersFK SmilteneFK SmilteneJDFS AlbertsMETTA/LUFK SmilteneFK SmilteneLeevon PPKValmieras FK/BSSFK SmilteneFK SmilteneJFK VentspilsRigas Futbola Skola IIFK SmilteneElvaFK SmilteneFK SmilteneRigas Futbola Skola IIFK Progress/AFA OlaineFK SmilteneFK SmilteneFK Progress/AFA OlaineFK SmilteneFK Progress/AFA OlaineFK Progress/AFA OlaineFK Smiltene| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  METTA/LU | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46:11 | +35 | 34 |
| 2 |  Valmieras FK/BSS | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 35:12 | +23 | 32 |
| 3 |  Beitar/Riga Mariners | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:12 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |  Leevon PPK | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 22:16 | +6 | 27 |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28:21 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Marupe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 |  Riga 2 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |  SK Super Nova 2 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | +1 | 19 |
| 9 |  Skanstes | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  JFK Ventspils | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 |  Rigas Futbola Skola II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:26 | -11 | 9 |
| 12 |  Tukums 2000 B | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16:31 | -15 | 8 |
| 13 | FK Smiltene | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13:33 | -20 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rezekne / BJSS | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:37 | -27 | 5 |
FK Progress/AFA Olaine vs FK Smiltene Prediction (Sep 13)
FK Progress/AFA Olaine vs FK Smiltene prediction: the 1st League match is set for Sep 13, 2025 at 15:00. FK Progress/AFA Olaine enters as the clear favorite with a 65% win probability, while FK Smiltene looks to cause an upset.
Team Form
FK Progress/AFA Olaine's last five results: W, D, L, W, L. Their recent matches include a 4–3 away win against Rezekne/BJSS and a 1–1 home draw with Leevon PPK, but also heavy defeats — 5–1 at Marupe and 7–2 at Riga 2. They show mixed but capable attacking form.
FK Smiltene are struggling with form: L, L, L, D, L. They lost 2–1 away to Marupe, 4–2 at home to Skanstes, and 2–0 at Riga 2, managing only a 1–1 draw away to Tukums 2000 B. Their defence has been leaky, and they are yet to win in this recent stretch.
Head-to-Head Record
In their last three meetings, FK Progress/AFA Olaine hold a 2–1 advantage over FK Smiltene. FK Progress/AFA Olaine recorded a 4–0 home win in April 2023 and a 3–1 away victory in August 2023. FK Smiltene won the most recent encounter, a 4–2 home win in May 2025. With home advantage again, FK Progress/AFA Olaine will look to extend that H2H lead.
League Table Positions
The provided league table for the 1st League does not include either FK Progress/AFA Olaine or FK Smiltene in the top 12. This suggests both clubs are lower down the standings. Without exact positions, FK Progress/AFA Olaine’s superior form and head-to-head record give them the edge in this encounter.
Win Probability: FK Progress/AFA Olaine or FK Smiltene?
Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: FK Progress/AFA Olaine win – 65%, draw – 20%, FK Smiltene win – 15%.
The home team’s strong head-to-head record (2 wins in last 3), their better form (2 wins in last 5 compared to FK Smiltene’s 0 wins), and the advantage of playing at home all point toward a comfortable win. FK Smiltene’s current poor run, which includes four defeats in five, makes an away victory highly unlikely.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers’ odds for this 1st League fixture are not currently available. However, based on the stats, FK Progress/AFA Olaine is predicted to win. Our betting tip is a home victory, with a possible correct score of 2–0 or 2–1 given the home side’s mixed defensive record but attacking threat.
FK Progress/AFA Olaine vs FK Smiltene — FAQ
- Who will win FK Progress/AFA Olaine vs FK Smiltene?
- FK Progress/AFA Olaine has a 65% chance to win, the draw stands at 20%, and FK Smiltene has a 15% chance. Based on form and head-to-head, the home side is the most likely winner.
- What is the win probability for FK Progress/AFA Olaine?
- FK Progress/AFA Olaine’s win probability is 65%. This is due to their superior head-to-head record (2 wins in last 3 meetings) and stronger recent form compared to FK Smiltene.
- When is the FK Progress/AFA Olaine vs FK Smiltene match?
- The match is on Sep 13, 2025, at 15:00 local time. It is a 1st League fixture in Latvia.
- What are the odds for FK Progress/AFA Olaine vs FK Smiltene?
- Odds are not currently available for this match. Check back closer to kick-off for 1X2 markets and betting tips.
- What is the head-to-head record between FK Progress/AFA Olaine and FK Smiltene?
- In the last 3 meetings, FK Progress/AFA Olaine have won twice (4-0 home, 3-1 away) and FK Smiltene once (4-2 home). No draws have been recorded.