FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 - FK Babrungas Plunge prediction 19 July 2026

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Babrungas Plunge prediction for the 1 Lyga match on Jul 19, 2026, at 15:00. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league standings, FK Babrungas Plunge enters as the clear favorite with a 65% win probability, while the home side has just a 10% chance of victory.

Team Form

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 comes into this match with poor recent results. In their last five games, they have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses (L, D, L, L, W). The only victory was a 1-0 away win against FK Transinvest B on May 30. At home, they suffered defeats to BFA Vilnius (0-1) and Dainava Alytus (0-2), and managed a goalless draw against FK Babrungas Plunge on Jun 24. They have struggled to score, netting just two goals in those five matches.

FK Babrungas Plunge, on the other hand, is in excellent form. Their last five matches show four wins and one draw (W, D, W, W, W). They secured 1-0 victories over FA Siauliai B, Be1 NFA Kaunas, Hegelmann Litauen II, and Minija Kretinga, keeping a clean sheet in each. The only blemish was a 0-0 draw against FK Kauno Zalgiris 2. The team has conceded zero goals in their last five outings, highlighting a rock-solid defense.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors FK Babrungas Plunge. In the last seven meetings, FK Babrungas Plunge has won 4, FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 has won 1, and 2 matches ended in draws. The most recent encounter on Jun 24, 2026, finished 0-0. Prior to that, FK Babrungas Plunge won 2-1 away on Oct 18, 2025, and 3-1 at home on Jun 12, 2025. FK Kauno Zalgiris 2's lone win came earlier in the series, but they have failed to beat Babrungas in the last five H2H matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses).

League Table Positions

FK Babrungas Plunge sits 2nd in the 1 Lyga overall standings with 39 points from 15 matches (12 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). They are unbeaten this season and have the best defensive record, conceding only 4 goals. FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 is not among the top 12 teams in the league table, indicating a much lower position. In the home standings, Babrungas ranks 1st with 8 wins and 1 draw in 9 away games (as the visiting side, they are 3rd in the away table with 4 wins and 2 draws from 6 matches). The gap in quality and consistency is significant.

Win Probability: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 or FK Babrungas Plunge?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probabilities are as follows:

• FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 win: 10%
• Draw: 25%
• FK Babrungas Plunge win: 65%

The bookmakers' average implied probabilities (after removing the margin) gave Babrungas around a 54-59% chance, but their dominant form and unbeaten league record push that figure higher. FK Kauno Zalgiris 2's poor home form and low table position reduce their chances to just 10%. A draw is a plausible outcome given the recent 0-0 stalemate, but Babrungas' defensive strength makes an away win the most likely result.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds from multiple bookmakers show a clear favorite. The best odds for a FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 win range from 13.50 to 17.00, for a draw from 2.40 to 2.70, and for a FK Babrungas Plunge win from 1.49 to 1.57. One bookmaker offers much tighter odds (home 1.26, draw 1.34, away 1.24), but the consensus strongly backs the away side. Based on the stats, bookmakers see FK Babrungas Plunge as the favorite. Our prediction: FK Babrungas Plunge to win, likely with a clean sheet given their recent defensive record. A low-scoring match is expected, with under 2.5 total goals a probable outcome.