First Vienna - Queens Park Rangers prediction 11 July 2026

The First Vienna vs Queens Park Rangers prediction for this Friendly Clubs match on Jul 11, 2026, at 16:30 points to Queens Park Rangers as the favorite with a 52% win probability. Bookmakers' odds and the Championship side's quality, despite poor recent form, tip the scales against a First Vienna team in excellent winning rhythm.

Team Form

First Vienna Form Analysis

First Vienna come into this Friendly Clubs fixture in superb form, having won four of their last five matches (W, W, W, W, L). In their most recent friendly on Jul 07, they beat Grazer AK 4-2 away. Prior to that, they secured a 2-0 win at Kremser and a dominant 6-2 victory at Weiz. Their only recent defeat was a 1-0 loss at Rapid Wien II in the 2. Liga. They are scoring freely, with 14 goals in their last five outings.

Queens Park Rangers Form Analysis

Queens Park Rangers' recent form is concerning, with four losses and one draw in their last five matches (L, L, L, L, D). In their final Championship games, they lost 3-0 at Ipswich Town, were beaten 3-2 at home by Derby County, and lost 2-1 at home to Swansea City. The 0-0 draw against Bristol City is the only positive result, but they have conceded at least two goals in each of their last four defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record available between First Vienna and Queens Park Rangers. These two clubs have never faced each other in a competitive or friendly fixture before, making this the first ever meeting.

League Table Positions

First Vienna compete in the Austrian 2. Liga, where they finished the season in strong form with a 2-0 home win over Bregenz on May 14. Queens Park Rangers ended their Championship campaign struggling, sitting low in the table after a string of defeats. The exact positions and points gaps are not provided in the data, but QPR's Championship status indicates a higher level of regular competition compared to the Austrian second division.

Win Probability: First Vienna or Queens Park Rangers?

Based on the supplied odds, team form, and competition level, we calculate the following win probabilities: First Vienna has a 28% chance of winning, a draw has a 20% chance, and Queens Park Rangers have a 52% chance of winning. The odds from bookmakers strongly favor QPR, with the best available away win at 2.10 and as low as 1.71. Despite First Vienna's four wins in five, those came against lower-division or fellow second-tier Austrian sides. QPR's dreadful Championship form is a red flag, but the quality gap between the English second tier and the Austrian 2. Liga is significant. The inverse of the normalized odds gives QPR a clear edge, which we have adjusted slightly downwards to reflect their losing streak. Queens Park Rangers are the more likely winners, but First Vienna's momentum cannot be ignored.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds from the data show Queens Park Rangers as the clear favorite: home win is at 3.80, the draw at 2.50, and an away win at 2.10. However, one bookmaker lists the away win as short as 1.71, indicating strong confidence in QPR. The draw is priced attractively at 2.38 with one bookmaker. Based on the stats, QPR's higher league pedigree suggests they have the individual quality to overcome their poor form against a confident First Vienna side. Our match prediction is an away win for Queens Park Rangers, but taking the draw insurance at 2.50 odds offers value given QPR's recent struggles and First Vienna's hot streak in front of goal.