| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | +45 | 78 | |
| 2 | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | +38 | 72 | |
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | +19 | 57 | |
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 43:43 | 0 | 56 | |
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | +8 | 55 | |
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | +20 | 54 | |
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | +7 | 49 | |
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 45 | |
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 44 | |
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | +4 | 43 | |
| 11 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | -6 | 42 | |
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | -8 | 41 | |
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 40 | |
| 14 | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | -10 | 40 | |
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 | |
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 35 | |
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 | |
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | -56 | 21 |
The Fidelis Andria vs Sarnese prediction for this Serie D match on Apr 19 at 13:00 points towards a home win. Based on head-to-head dominance, recent form, and home advantage, Fidelis Andria enter as favorites with a 55% win probability, while Sarnese have just a 20% chance to take all three points.
Fidelis Andria's last five matches show mixed results โ two wins, two draws, and one loss (L,D,W,W,D). They suffered a 2-1 home defeat to FC Pompei on May 03, drew 0-0 at Manfredonia on Apr 26, and beat Sarnese 2-1 at home on Apr 19. Earlier wins include a 2-0 away victory at Virtus Francavilla on Apr 12, while they drew 0-0 at home against Francavilla on Apr 02. That's a fairly consistent run, with only one loss in five outings.
Sarnese's recent form reads one win, three draws, and one loss (W,D,D,L,D). Their last match was a 2-1 home win over FC Pompei on May 10. Before that they drew 2-2 away against Virtus Francavilla and 2-2 at home against Francavilla, lost 2-1 at Fidelis Andria, and drew 0-0 at home to ASD Nardo Calcio. That run highlights a lack of wins, especially away from home, where they have drawn three and lost one of their last four on the road.
The head-to-head record heavily favours Fidelis Andria. In four meetings since 2018, Fidelis Andria have won three times and Sarnese once โ no match has ended in a draw. The most recent encounter on Apr 19 saw Fidelis Andria win 2-1 at home. Sarnese won the reverse fixture 2-1 at their ground on Dec 07, 2025. Historically, when hosting Sarnese, Fidelis Andria have won both matches (3-0 in 2018 and 2-1 in 2026), underlining a strong home advantage in this fixture.
Neither Fidelis Andria nor Sarnese appear in the top 12 of the Serie D standings that are available. That indicates both sides are positioned in the lower half of the table. Without exact points and ranks, we can't gauge the gap between them, but the form and H2H data strongly suggest Fidelis Andria are the better-performing side in this matchup.
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Fidelis Andria win โ 55%, draw โ 25%, Sarnese win โ 20%. This estimation is based on the head-to-head record (3 home wins out of 4 meetings, 0 draws), recent form (Fidelis Andria's 40% win rate in last five vs Sarnese's 20%), and the clear home advantage shown in this fixture. Although Sarnese have been drawing frequently, their inability to win away and the historical pattern make a home success the most likely outcome.
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Based purely on the stats, the Fidelis Andria vs Sarnese prediction is a home win. The combination of H2H dominance at this ground, slightly stronger recent results, and Sarnese's poor away record tilts the balance towards the hosts. A 2-1 or 1-0 scoreline for Fidelis Andria fits the data pattern.