Alcudia - Felanitx prediction 20 December 2025

The Felanitx vs Alcudia prediction for the Tercera Federacion clash on December 20, 2025, points to an away win. Alcudia has a 40% chance of winning, while Felanitx sits at 25% and the draw at 35%.

Team Form

Felanitx

Felanitx come into this match in dreadful shape, losing four of their last five matches and drawing one. They were beaten 4-3 by Son Cladera, 3-0 by Platges de Calvia, 8-1 by Mallorca B, and 2-0 by SD Formentera, before a 1-1 draw with Inter Ibiza. Defensive frailties are evident, conceding 18 goals in those five games. At home, they lost 0-3 to Platges de Calvia and drew 1-1 with Inter Ibiza in their last two outings.

Alcudia

Alcudia have also struggled, with two draws and three losses in their last five. They drew 2-2 with SCR Pena Deportiva, lost 3-1 to Portmany, 2-1 to Rotlet Molinar, 4-2 to Collerense, and drew 1-1 with Santanyi. While not impressive, they have shown slightly more resilience than the hosts, picking up two points from the last five games. Away from home, they lost 3-1 to Portmany and 4-2 to Collerense, indicating defensive issues on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between these sides, Alcudia have won twice, Felanitx once, and two ended in draws. The most recent encounter (before this fixture) was on November 25, 2023, when Alcudia secured a 2-0 home victory. Felanitx's only win in this period came at home in May 2021 (1-0). The head-to-head record suggests a tight contest, with draws a common outcome. Overall, Alcudia have scored 8 goals to Felanitx's 5 in those five matches.

Win Probability: Felanitx or Alcudia?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Felanitx 25%, Draw 35%, Alcudia 40%. This assessment is based on recent form, head-to-head history, and the home advantage factor. Both teams are in poor form, but Alcudia have picked up two draws compared to Felanitx's one, and they hold a superior H2H record (2 wins to 1). The high draw probability reflects the frequency of stalemates in past meetings (2 draws in the last 5). Felanitx's home advantage is offset by their terrible run of four losses in five games.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are available for this fixture in the provided data. Our prediction is based purely on statistical analysis. Considering the form and H2H, Alcudia are the more likely winners. A draw is also a strong possibility. We recommend a cautious approach: backing Alcudia to win or the draw no bet option if available. Both teams have been leaking goals, so over 2.5 goals could also be worth considering.