FC Wegberg-Beeck - SSV Merten prediction 17 May 2026

Our FC Wegberg-Beeck vs SSV Merten prediction for May 17, 2026, kicks off at 13:00 in the German Oberliga. FC Wegberg-Beeck enter this fixture as the slight favorite with a 45% win probability, while the draw stands at 30% and SSV Merten’s chances are 25%.

Team Form

FC Wegberg-Beeck come into this match with a mixed run of results: a win, a draw, a win, a draw and a loss over their last five outings. Their most recent match saw an impressive 3-0 away victory at Sportfreunde 1919 Duren on June 7, 2026. Before that, they played out a goalless draw at home to Bergisch Gladbach 09.

SSV Merten, by contrast, are in excellent form. They have recorded four wins and one draw across the same period. Their last fixture was a dominant 5-1 home win against Siegburger SV 04, and a remarkable 10-0 away victory at Teutonia Weiden shows their attacking threat.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head record heavily favors FC Wegberg-Beeck. In eight previous meetings, the home side has won six, there has been one draw, and SSV Merten have managed just a single away win. The most recent encounter was a 2-2 draw in this very fixture on May 17, 2026, ending a run of Wegberg-Beeck victories in the fixture.

• FC Wegberg-Beeck 2-2 SSV Merten (17/05/2026 – Oberliga)
• SSV Merten 1-2 FC Wegberg-Beeck (16/11/2025 – Oberliga)
• SSV Merten 4-1 FC Wegberg-Beeck (15/06/2025 – Oberliga)
• FC Wegberg-Beeck 4-0 SSV Merten (09/11/2018 – Oberliga)
• FC Wegberg-Beeck 4-0 SSV Merten (09/11/2018 – Oberliga)

Win Probability: FC Wegberg-Beeck or SSV Merten?

After analyzing the available data, we assign FC Wegberg-Beeck a 45% chance of winning. The draw holds a 30% probability, while SSV Merten are given a 25% chance. This calculation is influenced by the strong home advantage evident in the head-to-head history (75% home win rate across all meetings) and FC Wegberg-Beeck’s ability to pick up points in recent home games. However, SSV Merten’s outstanding current form — four wins in their last five matches — keeps them very competitive and inflates the draw probability. Without real-time odds, these percentages are purely statistical estimates based on form, H2H, and the home factor.

Odds & Match Prediction

No betting odds were available for this match at the time of writing. Based on the statistics and the head-to-head patterns, bookmakers would likely have priced FC Wegberg-Beeck as the narrow favorite. Our final match prediction is a home win or a draw, with the most likely outcome being FC Wegberg-Beeck to avoid defeat. Given the home side’s historical control in this fixture and the visitors’ scoring ability, both teams to score also looks a reasonable supporting bet.