Kansas City Women - San Diego Wave Women prediction 18 July 2026

The Kansas City Women vs San Diego Wave Women prediction for July 18, 2026, in the NWSL Women sees the home side as the favorite with a 45% win probability. The match kicks off at 00:00, and bookmakers also lean toward Kansas City Women, but the draw and away win chances remain significant.

Team Form

Kansas City Women come into this match with a recent record of L, W, W, W, L in their last five outings. Their last match was a 3-0 away defeat to Orlando Pride Women on July 11. Before that, they beat Denver Summit Women 3-0 away, Boston Legacy FC Women 1-0 at home, and Portland Thorns Women 3-1 at home. The only other loss was a 2-1 defeat at Angel City Women. At home, they have been perfect this season with six wins from six matches, scoring 14 and conceding just 3.

San Diego Wave Women's last five results are L, W, W, L, D. They lost 2-0 at home to Angel City Women on July 12, after a 2-0 home win over Gotham FC Women. Earlier, they won 2-0 at Chicago Red Stars Women, lost 1-0 at home to Orlando Pride Women, and drew 2-2 at Houston Dash Women. Their away form is strong: five wins, one draw, and one loss in seven road games.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before. On November 2, 2025, Kansas City Women beat San Diego Wave Women 2-1 at home in the NWSL Women. That gives Kansas City Women a 1-0 lead in the head-to-head, with no draws.

League Table Positions

San Diego Wave Women sit top of the overall NWSL Women table with 28 points from 15 matches (9 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). Kansas City Women are sixth with 24 points from 14 games (8 wins, 0 draws, 6 losses). In the home standings, Kansas City Women are first with a perfect 18 points from 6 matches. San Diego Wave Women are first in the away standings with 16 points from 7 road games (5 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss).

Win Probability: Kansas City Women or San Diego Wave Women?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home/away factor, the win probabilities are: Kansas City Women 45%, draw 30%, San Diego Wave Women 25%. The odds implied a tight contest, but Kansas City Women's flawless home record (6 wins, 14 goals scored, 3 conceded) and their previous H2H victory shift the balance in their favor. San Diego Wave Women's strong away form keeps them in contention, but the home advantage is decisive.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match vary, with one set showing a home win at 2.50, a draw at 2.15, and an away win at 3.30. These prices reflect the expectation of a close game. Taking all stats into account, the most likely outcome is a Kansas City Women victory. A draw cannot be ruled out, but the home side's perfect record at their own ground makes them the team to beat.