Fajr Sepasi - Chador Malu Yazd prediction 10 December 2025

The Fajr Sepasi vs Chador Malu Yazd prediction for the Pro League match on Dec 10, 2025, at 13:00 points to the visitors as the favorite. Chador Malu Yazd has a 45% win probability, while Fajr Sepasi sits at 25% and the draw is estimated at 30%. This analysis is based on team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions.

Team Form

Fajr Sepasi have been inconsistent in recent outings. Their last five matches show a pattern of losses and wins: L, W, L, W, L. Specifically, they lost 2-1 to Esteghlal Tehran, beat Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0, lost 1-0 to Esteghlal Khuzestan, surprised Tractor Sazi 2-1, and fell 2-1 to Zob Ahan. At home, they won two of those three, but overall confidence is shaky.

Chador Malu Yazd come into this fixture with much stronger form: D, W, W, W, L. They drew 0-0 at Gol Gohar, won 2-0 at Kheybar Khorramabad, demolished Gol Gohar 5-1 at home, beat Paykan 2-0, and lost 1-0 at Persepolis. Three wins, one draw, and only one loss against a top side mark them as a team in good rhythm.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours Chador Malu Yazd. The two previous meetings both ended in away wins for Chador Malu Yazd: 2-1 in this same fixture on Dec 10, 2025, and 1-0 back on Dec 6, 2023, in the Azadegan League. Fajr Sepasi have yet to beat Chador Malu Yazd, with 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 2 away wins for the visitors.

League Table Positions

In the Pro League standings, Chador Malu Yazd sit 5th with 35 points from 22 games (9 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses), scoring 27 goals and conceding 19. Fajr Sepasi are 8th with 30 points from 23 matches (8 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses), with 25 goals for and 27 against.

Home and away splits reveal a more balanced picture: Fajr Sepasi have a decent home record (6W, 1D, 4L, 13:13 goals), while Chador Malu Yazd are less dominant on the road (3W, 3D, 5L, 12:15 goals). However, the overall gap in points and recent form makes the visitors slight favourites.

Win Probability: Fajr Sepasi or Chador Malu Yazd?

Based on all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows:

• Chador Malu Yazd win: 45%
• Draw: 30%
• Fajr Sepasi win: 25%

The reasoning is straightforward: Chador Malu Yazd have a perfect head-to-head record, superior recent form (three wins in last five versus two for Fajr Sepasi), and a higher league position. Fajr Sepasi's home advantage gives them a fighting chance, but the visitors' overall consistency and defensive solidity (19 goals conceded in 22 games) tip the scales. No bookmaker odds are available to adjust the probabilities, so the estimate is purely stats-driven.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not provided by bookmakers in the data, but based on the stats, Chador Malu Yazd is the expected winner. Our Fajr Sepasi vs Chador Malu Yazd prediction is a narrow away victory. The match has already finished with a 1-2 scoreline, confirming the pre-match analysis that Chador Malu Yazd were the more likely side to collect three points. For betting tips, the away win and under 2.5 goals would have been solid considerations given the teams' scoring records.