AD Sanjoanense - Fafe prediction 11 April 2026
AD Sanjoanense
Fafe
Sao Joao VerAD SanjoanenseAD SanjoanenseParedesSporting Braga BAD SanjoanenseAD SanjoanenseFafeAD Marco 09AD SanjoanenseAD SanjoanenseSporting Braga BAD SanjoanenseAD Marco 09FafeAD SanjoanenseParedesAD SanjoanenseAD SanjoanenseSao Joao VerAD SanjoanenseVitoria Guimaraes BVarzimAD SanjoanenseAD SanjoanenseTrofenseParedesAD SanjoanenseAD SanjoanenseSporting Braga BSporting Braga BFafeFafeSao Joao VerSCU TorreenseFafeAD Marco 09FafeAD SanjoanenseFafeFafeParedesFafeAD Marco 09ParedesFafeFafeAD SanjoanenseSao Joao VerFafeFafeSporting Braga BFafeSCU TorreenseFafeSporting Braga BVitoria Guimaraes BFafeFafeBragaAD SanjoanenseFafeFafeAD SanjoanenseAD SanjoanenseFafeFafeAD SanjoanenseAD SanjoanenseFafeFafeAD SanjoanenseFafeAD SanjoanenseAD SanjoanenseFafeAD SanjoanenseFafeFafeAD SanjoanenseFafeAD SanjoanenseFafeAD SanjoanenseAD SanjoanenseFafe| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | +11 | 38 |
| 2 |  Mafra | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 34 |
| 3 |  Vitoria Guimaraes B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | +4 | 29 |
| 4 |  Amarante | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 29 |
| 5 |  Academica Coimbra | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:18 | +11 | 28 |
| 6 |  Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 |
| 7 |  Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | +9 | 28 |
| 8 |  Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 22:12 | +10 | 27 |
| 9 |  UD Santarem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:14 | +1 | 25 |
| 10 |  Sporting Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 24 |
| 12 |  Lusitano Ginasio Clube Evora | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 |  Atletico Clube de Portugal | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 14 |  Amora | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 |  Caldas | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:23 | -6 | 21 |
| 16 |  AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 |  1 Dezembro | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 17 |
| 18 |  Sao Joao Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11:26 | -15 | 14 |
| 19 |  Sporting Covilha | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 14 |
| 20 | AD Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 13 |
Fafe vs AD Sanjoanense Prediction (Apr 11)
The Fafe vs AD Sanjoanense prediction for April 11, 2026, kicks off at 14:00 in Portugal's Tercera Liga. Based on league standings, home form, and head-to-head data, Fafe enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability. AD Sanjoanense holds a 25% chance, while the draw sits at 30%.
Team Form
Fafe comes into this match with inconsistent results: a draw, three losses, and one win in their last five outings (D, L, L, L, W). The most recent was a 0–0 draw away to Sporting Braga B on May 3. Before that, they fell 1–2 at home to Sao Joao Ver, lost 0–2 at SCU Torreense in the Cup, and suffered a 0–1 defeat at AD Marco 09. The lone victory was a 3–2 away win against AD Sanjoanense on April 11.
AD Sanjoanense shows slightly better recent form with two wins, two losses, and a draw (L, W, W, L, D). They lost 1–2 at Sao Joao Ver on May 3, beat Paredes 1–0 at home, won 2–1 at Sporting Braga B, then lost 2–3 at home to Fafe, and earlier drew 0–0 at AD Marco 09.
Head-to-Head Record
In the overall H2H, AD Sanjoanense leads with 6 wins to Fafe's 3, alongside 4 draws. The last five meetings show a tight rivalry:
- Apr 11, 2026: AD Sanjoanense 2–3 Fafe
- Mar 01, 2026: Fafe 3–2 AD Sanjoanense
- Nov 09, 2025: AD Sanjoanense 1–1 Fafe
- Aug 10, 2025: Fafe 0–2 AD Sanjoanense
- Nov 30, 2024: AD Sanjoanense 0–1 Fafe
Fafe has won the two most recent encounters, both by a one-goal margin, suggesting a shift in momentum.
League Table Positions
Fafe sits 11th in the Tercera Liga overall standings with 24 points from 18 matches (6W, 6D, 6L). At home, they are 6th with 17 points from 9 games (5W, 2D, 2L), scoring 12 and conceding only 7. AD Sanjoanense is not in the top 12 of the league table, indicating a lower position and a weaker campaign. Their away form is also outside the top 8, which further tilts the balance toward the home side.
Win Probability: Fafe or AD Sanjoanense?
After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are: Fafe 45%, Draw 30%, AD Sanjoanense 25%. Fafe's home advantage (6th in home table) and higher league position outweigh their poor recent form. AD Sanjoanense's historical H2H edge is countered by losing the last two meetings. The draw probability is elevated due to both teams' inconsistent results. Overall, Fafe is more likely to win, but the match is far from a certainty.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this fixture. Based on the stats, Fafe is the predicted winner. The home side's solid defensive record at home (7 goals conceded in 9 games) and AD Sanjoanense's lower-table status make a home win the most probable outcome. However, with both teams showing vulnerability, a draw or an away upset cannot be ruled out.
Fafe vs AD Sanjoanense — FAQ
- Who will win Fafe vs AD Sanjoanense?
- Fafe has a 45% chance to win, the draw is at 30%, and AD Sanjoanense has a 25% chance. Fafe is the favorite due to home advantage and a higher league position.
- What is the win probability for Fafe?
- Fafe has a 45% win probability. This is based on their strong home record (5W, 2D, 2L) and AD Sanjoanense's lower standing in the Tercera Liga table.
- When is the Fafe vs AD Sanjoanense match?
- The match is on April 11, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It is a Tercera Liga fixture in Portugal.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds are not yet available from bookmakers. Based on statistical analysis, Fafe is expected to be the favorite when markets open.
- What is the head-to-head record between Fafe and AD Sanjoanense?
- In all competitions, AD Sanjoanense leads with 6 wins to Fafe's 3, and 4 draws. However, Fafe has won the last two meetings, both in 2026.