Excelsior 31 - USV Hercules prediction 15 November 2025

Our Excelsior 31 vs USV Hercules prediction for the 3 Derde Divisie match on November 15, 2025, at 13:30 favours the home side. Based on the available head-to-head record, recent form, and league standings, Excelsior 31 has a 52% probability of winning this clash.

Team Form

Excelsior 31's last five matches show inconsistent results: W, D, L, D, L. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away win against SV Urk on May 23. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home against ROHDA Raalte and lost 2-1 away at Genemuiden. The team has struggled to put together a winning streak, with two draws and two losses in their last five competitive games.

USV Hercules have been slightly more consistent, recording D, W, W, D, L in their last five matches. They played a 0-0 draw away at TEC on May 23, previously hammered Harkemase Boys 4-0 at home, and secured a stunning 7-1 away victory at HSC '21. However, a 2-0 loss at DOVO in late March shows they can be vulnerable on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited to a single meeting. In that match on November 15, 2025, Excelsior 31 defeated USV Hercules 3-0 at home. This gives Excelsior 31 a 100% winning record in this fixture, with USV Hercules yet to score a goal against them.

League Table Positions

Both Excelsior 31 and USV Hercules are not featured in the top 12 of the overall league table, which suggests they are positioned in the lower half of the 3 Derde Divisie standings. The available data does not specify their exact points or rank, but neither side appears in the provided top 12 overall, home, or away standings. USV Hercules, however, appear in the home table under the name 'Hercules', sitting 4th with 33 points from 17 home games, indicating strong home form. Their away form is not directly listed in the top 8, pointing to a weaker record on the road.

Win Probability: Excelsior 31 or USV Hercules?

We calculate the win probability based on form, H2H, and league standings, as specific 1X2 odds are missing from the data. The probabilities are:

• Excelsior 31 win: 52%
• Draw: 24%
• USV Hercules win: 24%

Excelsior 31 is the more likely winner, carrying a 52% chance. The main reasoning is their 3-0 victory in the only head-to-head meeting and USV Hercules' less convincing away form. The home advantage also slightly boosts Excelsior 31's chances, despite their mixed recent results. USV Hercules has shown they can score heavily but have also suffered a 2-0 away loss recently, making a draw a realistic secondary outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific 1X2 odds from bookmakers are not available in the match data. Without explicit odds, the probability estimation is purely statistical, drawn from the teams' form, head-to-head record, and league positions. Based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Excelsior 31 as the favourite. Our final prediction is a home win for Excelsior 31, reflecting their superior H2H result and USV Hercules' less reliable away performances. A 2-1 or 1-0 scoreline appears plausible given the form trends.