Evian Thonon Gaillard Women - Auxerre Women prediction 15 March 2026

The Evian Thonon Gaillard Women vs Auxerre Women prediction for the Division 2 Women match on Mar 15, 2026, at 13:30 points to a tight contest. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Evian Thonon Gaillard Women have a 45% win probability, while Auxerre Women sit at 30%, with a 25% chance of a draw.

Team Form

Evian Thonon Gaillard Women come into this match with mixed results from their last five outings: a draw, two wins, and two losses (D, W, L, L, W). Their most recent match was a 4-4 draw against Metz Women on May 17. Prior to that, they beat Reims Women 2-0 away and lost 1-2 at home to US Saint Malo Women. The team has shown they can score but also concede, with both teams finding the net in three of those five games.

Auxerre Women's recent form reads W, L, L, D, D. They secured a 3-1 away win at En Avant Guingamp Women on May 24, but suffered a heavy 0-3 home loss to OGC Nice Women before that. Two draws against Le Mans Women (2-2) and Grenoble Claix Women (0-0) highlight their inconsistency. Away from home, they have managed just one win in their last five, with two draws and two defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met twice in Division 2 Women, with the home team winning on each occasion. Evian Thonon Gaillard Women won the most recent clash 2-1 at home on Mar 15, 2026, while Auxerre Women triumphed 2-1 at their own ground on Oct 19, 2025. The head-to-head record stands at one win apiece, with no draws. This pattern strongly suggests home advantage could be decisive again.

Win Probability: Evian Thonon Gaillard Women or Auxerre Women?

After analyzing all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Evian Thonon Gaillard Women 45%, draw 25%, Auxerre Women 30%. The home side gets the edge due to the historical H2H trend where the host always wins, and their slightly better overall form. Auxerre Women's away record is unconvincing, with only one victory in their last five road trips. The 25% draw probability reflects the fact that both teams have been involved in stalemates recently and the match could be closely fought.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. Typically, odds would reflect the home team as marginal favorites, with a draw and away win priced closely. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Evian Thonon Gaillard Women. Our prediction: a home victory, possibly with both teams scoring given the defensive vulnerabilities shown by both sides.