Esporte De Patos PB - Pombal PB prediction 4 February 2026

Our Esporte De Patos PB vs Pombal PB prediction for the Campeonato Paraibano match on Feb 04 at 23:00 is based on recent form and stats. Pombal PB enters this game as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, compared to 33% for Esporte De Patos PB and a 25% chance of a draw.

Team Form

Esporte De Patos PB's last five matches show a mixed run (W, L, W, L, W). They most recently beat Campinense PB 1-0 at home but lost 3-1 away to Treze PB before that. Their attack has scored 6 goals across 9 league matches overall, while conceding 9. At home, they have been inconsistent in the league table standings.

Pombal PB's recent form reads L, L, D, W, W. They are coming off a 2-0 loss away to Sousa PB and a 3-2 defeat at Confianca EC PB. Prior to that, they drew 1-1 at home with Atletico Cajazeirense PB and earned wins against Esporte De Patos PB (1-0 away) and Serra Branca PB (3-1 home). Across 9 league games, they have scored 10 goals and conceded 18.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced. In the two previous meetings, both teams have one win each. Most recently, Pombal PB defeated Esporte De Patos PB 1-0 away on Feb 04, 2026. The earlier fixture saw Esporte De Patos PB win 3-0 away at Pombal PB on Jan 12, 2025.

League Table Positions

Esporte De Patos PB sits 7th in the Campeonato Paraibano overall standings with 11 points from 9 matches (3W, 2D, 4L). They show a negative goal difference of -3. In away games, they rank 3rd with 7 points from 5 matches.

Pombal PB is 10th overall with 8 points (2W, 2D, 5L) and a -8 goal difference. Their home record places them 8th, with 5 points from 4 home games.

Win Probability: Esporte De Patos PB or Pombal PB?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head stats, and league table positions, we assess the win probabilities as follows: Esporte De Patos PB has a 33% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Pombal PB has a 42% chance. Pombal PB is considered the more likely winner. Their recent 1-0 away win in the head-to-head and Esporte De Patos PB's inconsistent home form tilt the balance slightly in favor of the away side, despite their lower overall ranking. Neither team has shown strong defensive stability, but Pombal PB's attacking intent in recent wins gives them the edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive Campeonato Paraibano fixture. While specific odds for the 1X2 market are not listed in the data, the stats and probability model point towards an away win as the most likely match outcome. Our prediction is that Pombal PB will win, based on their superior recent head-to-head result and Esporte De Patos PB's difficulties at home. The total goals could be under 2.5, given both teams' moderate scoring records in the league.