Energie Cottbus - SV Wehen Wiesbaden prediction 9 May 2026

The Energie Cottbus vs SV Wehen Wiesbaden prediction for the 3rd Liga match on May 09, 2026, at 12:00 points to a home victory. Based on the stats, Energie Cottbus has a 60% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 22% and an away win for SV Wehen Wiesbaden at 18%.

Team Form

Energie Cottbus comes into this match in strong shape. Their last five results show four wins and one loss: W, W, L, W, W. Most recently, they beat Jahn Regensburg 1-0 away on May 16, and before that they defeated SV Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 at home. The only setback was a 2-1 loss at MSV Duisburg on May 03. At home, they have been particularly solid, with a 5-3 win over Rot-Weiss Essen and a 2-0 victory at Viktoria Koln in recent weeks.

SV Wehen Wiesbaden's form is more mixed. Their last five matches read W, W, L, L, D. They won a friendly against FC 08 Homburg 1-0 and beat 1899 Hoffenheim II 2-0 at home, but lost 2-1 away to Energie Cottbus and 3-2 at home to VfL Osnabruck, and drew 2-2 at Erzgebirge Aue. Away from home, they have struggled for consistency, with only two wins in their last five competitive away games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours Energie Cottbus. In 8 previous meetings, Energie Cottbus has won 5, SV Wehen Wiesbaden has won 3, and there have been no draws. The most recent clash was this very fixture on May 09, 2026, which ended 2-1 to the home side. Earlier in the season, on December 14, 2025, SV Wehen Wiesbaden won 3-1 at home. Overall, Energie Cottbus has won three of the last four encounters, including a 2-1 home win in February 2025.

League Table Positions

Energie Cottbus sits 2nd in the 3rd Liga with 69 points from 37 matches (20 wins, 9 draws, 8 losses). They have scored 71 goals and conceded 51. At home, they are the 2nd-best team in the league, with 11 wins, 7 draws and only 1 loss in 19 games. SV Wehen Wiesbaden is 10th with 50 points (14 wins, 8 draws, 15 losses), scoring 52 and conceding 52. Their away form is not among the top eight in the division, indicating a significant gap in quality, especially on the road.

Win Probability: Energie Cottbus or SV Wehen Wiesbaden?

After analysing all available data, the win probabilities for this match are: Energie Cottbus 60%, draw 22%, SV Wehen Wiesbaden 18%. The home side's superior league position (2nd vs 10th), dominant home record (only one home loss all season), and strong head-to-head advantage (5 wins in 8 meetings) make them the clear favourite. SV Wehen Wiesbaden's inconsistent away form and recent defeats reduce their chances. The draw is a realistic possibility given Cottbus's occasional draws at home, but a home win is the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific odds for this match are not available in the data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Energie Cottbus as the strong favourite. Our prediction is a home win for Energie Cottbus. The team's form, head-to-head record, and home advantage all point to a victory. A 2-1 or 2-0 scoreline would be consistent with recent performances.