Independiente Del Valle - Emelec prediction 20 July 2026

Ecuador · Serie AFinished
Match Info
CompetitionSerie A · Ecuador
Start dateJul 20, 2026
Kick-off00:15
VenueEstadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Capacity12,600
Surfacegrass
Recent Form
Independiente Del Valle
W
W
W
W
W
Emelec
L
W
D
D
W
Recent matches · Independiente Del Valle
Serie AJul 20
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
61
W
Serie AJul 16
SD Aucas Quito
Independiente Del Valle
03
W
Serie AJul 11
Mushuc Runa
Independiente Del Valle
14
W
CupJul 08
CD Santo Domingo
Independiente Del Valle
02
W
Serie AJul 04
Independiente Del Valle
Manta FC
40
W
Serie AMay 31
Guayaquil City
Independiente Del Valle
24
W
Copa LibertadoresMay 27
Independiente Del Valle
Rosario Central
10
W
Serie AMay 23
Independiente Del Valle
Libertad Loja
23
L
Copa LibertadoresMay 20
Independiente Del Valle
Club Libertad Asuncion
41
W
Serie AMay 16
Macara
Independiente Del Valle
03
W
Serie AMay 10
Independiente Del Valle
Barcelona Guayaquil
10
W
Copa LibertadoresMay 06
UCV FC
Independiente Del Valle
20
L
Serie AMay 01
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
Independiente Del Valle
23
W
Copa LibertadoresApr 28
Club Libertad Asuncion
Independiente Del Valle
23
W
Serie AApr 25
Independiente Del Valle
Leones Del Norte
21
W
Recent matches · Emelec
Serie AJul 20
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
61
L
Serie AJul 17
Orense SC
Emelec
02
W
Serie AJul 12
Emelec
Barcelona Guayaquil
00
D
Serie AJul 05
Delfin SC
Emelec
11
D
Serie AMay 31
Emelec
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
10
W
Serie AMay 24
Emelec
Macara
20
W
CupMay 20
Daquilema FC
Emelec
00
D
Serie AMay 17
Manta FC
Emelec
00
D
Serie AMay 10
Emelec
Libertad Loja
11
D
Serie AMay 03
Leones Del Norte
Emelec
20
L
Serie AApr 25
Emelec
LDU Quito
10
W
Serie AApr 22
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
01
W
Serie AApr 18
Emelec
Guayaquil City
13
L
Serie AApr 12
SD Aucas Quito
Emelec
20
L
Serie AApr 09
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
Emelec
11
D
Odds
Full Time Result
Lineups
Independiente Del Valle4-1-4-1
  • 1A. QuintanaG
  • 5R. SchunkeD
  • 4J. EspinozaD
  • 32J. MéndezM
  • 11M. PerellóF
  • 28H. QuintanaM
Substitutes
  • 10J. Sornoza
  • 6J. Alcívar
  • 99D. Reasco
  • 17A. Rodríguez
  • 16R. Briones
  • 19L. Loor
  • 12Eduardo David Bores Díaz
Emelec4-4-2
  • 5A. MinaM
  • 4E. SeguraD
  • 14R. CaicedoD
  • 16S. QuinteroM
  • 12P. OrtízG
  • 51S. ValenciaD
  • 7L. KlimowiczF
  • 8G. NápoliM
  • 19J. RuízF
Substitutes
  • 17J. Ayoví
  • 36A. Viteri
  • 9J. Neris
  • 2A. Leguizamón
  • 10F. Pizzini
  • 21J. Cevallos
Head-to-Head · summary
13
Independiente Del Valle
6
Draws
7
Emelec
Previous meetings
Serie AJul 20
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
61
Serie AMar 20
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
20
Serie AAug 24
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
01
Serie AMay 04
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
12
Serie AMar 31
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
00
Serie ASep 30
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
21
Serie AApr 29
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
23
Serie AJul 18
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
23
Serie AJul 17
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
23
Serie AFeb 28
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
01
Serie ADec 13
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
11
Serie ADec 06
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
31
Serie ADec 06
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
31
Serie ANov 21
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
32
Serie AMay 31
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
00
Serie ADec 09
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
30
Serie ASep 06
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
22
Serie AMar 31
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
10
Serie ANov 29
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
00
Serie AAug 11
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
41
Serie AAug 11
Independiente Del Valle
Emelec
41
Serie AApr 15
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
21
Serie AApr 15
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
21
Serie AApr 15
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
21
Serie AApr 15
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
21
Serie AJun 18
Emelec
Independiente Del Valle
11
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independiente Del Valle20161349:20+2949
2SD Aucas Quito20105522:19+335
3Barcelona Guayaquil2097422:14+834
4Universidad Catolica del Ecuador2095631:18+1332
5Macara2085721:21029
6LDU Quito2084819:16+328
7Deportivo Cuenca2084819:23-428
8Leones Del Norte2076721:20+127
9Emelec2076717:23-627
10Guayaquil City2075818:22-426
11Mushuc Runa2066826:30-424
12Tecnico Universitario20721119:21-223
13Orense SC2065923:28-523
14Delfin SC2065913:19-623
15Libertad2056918:26-821
16Manta FC2034137:25-1813
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec Prediction (Jul 20)

The Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec prediction points to a clear home favorite in this Serie A clash on July 20, 2026, at 00:15 at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Based on the stats, Independiente Del Valle has a 68% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Emelec has a 12% chance.

Team Form

Independiente Del Valle comes into this match in devastating form, having won their last five matches across all competitions. They scored 17 goals in those games, including a 3-0 away win at SD Aucas Quito on Jul 16 and a 4-1 victory at Mushuc Runa on Jul 11. Their only home fixture in this run was a 4-0 demolition of Manta FC on Jul 04.

Emelec's recent form is solid but less spectacular: two wins, two draws, and one win in their last five. They are unbeaten in five, with a 2-0 away win at Orense SC on Jul 17 and a 0-0 home draw against Barcelona Guayaquil on Jul 12. However, they have scored only 5 goals in this period, highlighting a less potent attack.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 25 meetings, Independiente Del Valle has won 12, Emelec 7, with 6 draws. The most recent encounter was on Mar 20, 2026, when Emelec won 2-0 at home. Before that, Independiente Del Valle won 1-0 away on Aug 24, 2025. The last match at this venue, on May 04, 2025, saw Emelec win 2-1. The H2H record shows a competitive rivalry, but Independiente Del Valle holds the overall edge.

League Table Positions

Independiente Del Valle sits top of the Serie A table with 43 points from 18 matches (14 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). They have scored a league-high 40 goals. Emelec is 8th with 24 points (6 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses) and only 14 goals scored. At home, Independiente Del Valle is 2nd with 19 points from 9 games. Emelec's away form ranks them 4th with 18 points from 10 games, but Independiente Del Valle's away record is the best in the league (24 points from 9 games), showing their strength regardless of venue.

Win Probability: Independiente Del Valle or Emelec?

Based on the odds, form, and league positions, Independiente Del Valle has a 68% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Emelec has a 12% chance. The bookmakers' average implied probability (after removing the margin) heavily favors the home side, and their perfect recent form and top league position reinforce this. Emelec's unbeaten run offers some resistance, but their low scoring output and the gulf in the table make an away win unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Independiente Del Valle as the strong favorite, with best odds of 1.33 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.30, and an Emelec away win is as high as 10.09. Based on the stats, the prediction is a home win for Independiente Del Valle. The team's attacking firepower and Emelec's struggles in front of goal suggest a comfortable victory for the league leaders.

Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec — FAQ

Who will win Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec?
Independiente Del Valle is the strong favorite to win. They have a 68% win probability, while Emelec has just a 12% chance, with the draw at 20%. This is based on their top league position, perfect recent form, and dominant home record.
What is the win probability for Independiente Del Valle?
Independiente Del Valle has a 68% chance of winning this match. This high probability reflects their 1st place in Serie A, five straight wins, and the bookmakers' odds implying they are clear favorites.
When is the Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec match?
The match is on July 20, 2026, at 00:15 local time. It will be played at Estadio Banco Guayaquil in Quito, as part of the Ecuadorian Serie A.
What are the odds for the match?
The odds heavily favor Independiente Del Valle, with a home win priced as low as 1.33. The draw is available around 2.30, and an Emelec away win is a long shot at up to 10.09.
Independiente Del Valle – Emelec · match page