| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 53:19 | +34 | 72 | |
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42:27 | +15 | 60 | |
| 3 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 40:25 | +15 | 58 | |
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:29 | +18 | 55 | |
| 5 | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 41:31 | +10 | 55 | |
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 38:23 | +15 | 54 | |
| 7 | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 46 | |
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 28:33 | -5 | 46 | |
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 31:29 | +2 | 44 | |
| 10 | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 28:27 | +1 | 44 | |
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 23:30 | -7 | 43 | |
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 40 | |
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 40 | |
| 14 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 | |
| 15 | 34 | 5 | 18 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 33 | |
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34:38 | -4 | 32 | |
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 15:42 | -27 | 25 | |
| 18 | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20:51 | -31 | 22 |
Welcome to our El Shams vs Egypt Insurance prediction for the Egypt Second Division match on Oct 28, 2025, kicking off at 12:30. Our analysis, based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, gives El Shams a 42% chance to win, with a draw at 33% and Egypt Insurance at 25%.
El Shams come into this fixture without a win in their last five outings (L,D,L,D,D), scoring four goals and conceding seven. At home, they have drawn three consecutive matches (1-1 against Nogoom El Mostakbal, Helwan El Aam, and Gomhoreyat Shepin), showing they are tough to beat but struggle to close games. Their only home defeat in that sequence was to Diamond SC.
Egypt Insurance have also failed to win in their last five (L,L,D,L,D), with four goals scored and eight conceded. Their away form is particularly worrying: two defeats in their last two trips, losing 0-1 at Al Nasr Cairo and 1-3 at Diamond SC. They have managed only two draws in five overall, both at home.
The only past meeting between El Shams and Egypt Insurance ended in a 1-0 win for Egypt Insurance, who were the home side that day. The historical record stands at: El Shams 0 wins, 0 draws, Egypt Insurance 1 win. That gives the visitors a mental edge, though the return fixture at El Shams’s ground could shift the dynamics.
The available Second Division standings only list the top 12 teams. El Shams and Egypt Insurance do not feature among them, indicating both clubs are in the lower half of the table. Without exact positions or points, it is difficult to draw firm conclusions, but both sides are likely fighting to climb away from the relegation zone.
We calculate the chances of each outcome using a methodology that considers form, home advantage, and head-to-head data. The probabilities are:
El Shams’s slightly higher chance comes from their home advantage and a series of draws that suggests they are difficult to beat. Egypt Insurance’s poor away record (two consecutive defeats on the road) lowers their prospects. However, the solitary H2H win for Egypt Insurance and both teams’ winless streaks make a draw a very real outcome. Overall, El Shams are the favorite, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.
No betting odds are available in our dataset for this fixture. Should bookmakers release lines, they would likely price El Shams as slight favorites given their home status. Value seekers might consider the draw, given the high frequency of stalemates in both teams’ recent results.
Our match prediction: a 1-1 draw. Both sides have shown they can score but are equally prone to conceding, and this pattern points to a low-scoring tie. El Shams to win is the slightly more probable result, but the draw offers solid safety.