El Nacional - SD Aucas Quito prediction 7 December 2025
El Nacional
SD Aucas Quito
Cuniburo Vinotinto FC EcuadorEl NacionalEl NacionalCumbayaAtletico JBG Rojiblanco GuayaquiEl NacionalEl NacionalCD Santo DomingoDeportivo Cuenca JuniorsEl NacionalEl NacionalLDU PortoviejoEl NacionalUniversidad Catolica del EcuadorSan Antonio CotacachiEl Nacional9 de OctubreEl NacionalEl Nacional22 de Julio FCGualaceo SCEl NacionalEl NacionalCuniburo Vinotinto FC EcuadorCumbayaEl NacionalCD Dunamis 04 CarchiEl NacionalEl NacionalAtletico JBG Rojiblanco GuayaquiSD Aucas QuitoIndependiente Del ValleDeportivo CuencaSD Aucas QuitoSD Aucas QuitoGuayaquil CityMushuc RunaSD Aucas QuitoSD Aucas QuitoManta FCSan Antonio CotacachiSD Aucas QuitoBarcelona GuayaquilSD Aucas QuitoSD Aucas QuitoUniversidad Catolica del EcuadorLibertad LojaSD Aucas QuitoSD Aucas QuitoDelfin SCLDU QuitoSD Aucas QuitoLeones Del NorteSD Aucas QuitoSD Aucas QuitoEmelecMacaraSD Aucas QuitoSD Aucas QuitoOrense SCEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl NacionalSD Aucas QuitoEl Nacional| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente Del Valle | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | +21 | 43 |
| 2 | SD Aucas Quito | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 21:16 | +5 | 32 |
| 3 |  Barcelona Guayaquil | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20:13 | +7 | 30 |
| 4 |  LDU Quito | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19:14 | +5 | 28 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 27 |
| 6 |  Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28:18 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Macara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 |  Emelec | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 24 |
| 9 |  Tecnico Universitario | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:19 | 0 | 23 |
| 10 |  Leones Del Norte | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 |  Orense SC | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 23 |
| 12 |  Guayaquil City | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 |  Mushuc Runa | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 |  Libertad | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 18 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10:18 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 7:23 | -16 | 13 |
El Nacional vs SD Aucas Quito Prediction (Dec 07, 2025)
Our El Nacional vs SD Aucas Quito prediction for this Serie A match on Dec 07, 2025, at 19:00 points to an away victory. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, SD Aucas Quito enters the match as the favorite with a 58% win probability.
Team Form
El Nacional's recent form is poor, with four losses and one draw in their last five matches (L, L, D, L, L). They have struggled defensively, conceding nine goals in those five games while scoring only once. Their most recent result was a 1-0 defeat to Cumbaya in Serie B.
SD Aucas Quito comes into this match in excellent shape, with four wins and one draw in their last five outings (W, W, D, W, W). They have scored eight goals and conceded just one in that span. Their latest match was a 1-0 away win against Deportivo Cuenca in Serie A.
Head-to-Head Record
In the head-to-head record, SD Aucas Quito holds a clear advantage with 16 wins compared to El Nacional's 4, along with 4 draws. The most recent meeting on Dec 07, 2025, ended in a 3-1 home win for El Nacional, but prior to that, SD Aucas Quito was unbeaten in four straight matches against them, including a 1-0 victory in July 2025.
League Table Positions
SD Aucas Quito sits 3rd in the Serie A overall table with 29 points from 17 matches, firmly in the top tier of the league. El Nacional is not listed in the top 12 of the Serie A standings, and their recent matches appear in Serie B, indicating they are in a lower division. SD Aucas Quito's away record is solid, with 2 wins, 4 draws, and only 2 losses in 8 away matches.
Win Probability: El Nacional or SD Aucas Quito?
Based on all available data, the win probabilities are: El Nacional 22%, draw 20%, SD Aucas Quito 58%. This calculation is derived from the inverse of implied odds adjusted for the significant gap in recent form, SD Aucas Quito's dominant head-to-head record, and the league table disparity. SD Aucas Quito is the clear favorite to win this match.
Odds & Match Prediction
Odds for this match are not available in the provided data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see SD Aucas Quito as the favorite. Our prediction is an away win for SD Aucas Quito, given their superior form and historical dominance in this fixture.
El Nacional vs SD Aucas Quito — FAQ
- Who will win El Nacional vs SD Aucas Quito?
- SD Aucas Quito is the most likely winner with a 58% probability. El Nacional has a 22% chance, and the draw is at 20%. This is based on SD Aucas Quito's strong recent form and dominant head-to-head record.
- What is the win probability for SD Aucas Quito?
- SD Aucas Quito has a 58% chance of winning against El Nacional. This high probability reflects their 3rd-place position in the Serie A table and a run of four wins in their last five matches.
- When is the El Nacional vs SD Aucas Quito match?
- The match is on Dec 07, 2025, with a kick-off time of 19:00. It is a Serie A fixture in Ecuador.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Specific odds for this match are not available in the current data. Based on the team form and standings, SD Aucas Quito would be expected to be priced as the favorite by bookmakers.
- What is the head-to-head record between El Nacional and SD Aucas Quito?
- In their head-to-head history, SD Aucas Quito has 16 wins, El Nacional has 4 wins, and there have been 4 draws. SD Aucas Quito has dominated this fixture overall.