| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | 2.30 | 2.50 | |
| 3.85 | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 39:9 | +30 | 40 | |
| 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 26:4 | +22 | 39 | |
| 3 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | +13 | 32 | |
| 4 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20:17 | +3 | 28 | |
| 5 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 27:16 | +11 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26:15 | +11 | 27 | |
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:14 | +8 | 22 | |
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 22 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:17 | +6 | 21 | |
| 10 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 | |
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 17 | |
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 | |
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 16:32 | -16 | 13 | |
| 14 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15:29 | -14 | 7 | |
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7:24 | -17 | 7 | |
| 16 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13:35 | -22 | 7 |
The Ekranas Panevezio vs BFA Vilnius prediction for this 1 Lyga match on July 19, 2026, points to an away victory. BFA Vilnius enters the game as the clear favorite with a 50% win probability, while struggling Ekranas Panevezio has just a 20% chance of winning and the draw sits at 30%.
Ekranas Panevezio is in disastrous form, losing their last five matches in a row. They were beaten 3-0 by BFA Vilnius on July 2, lost 2-1 at home to Atmosfera Mazeikiai, fell 2-1 at FK Tauras Taurage, lost 2-1 at home to Neptunas Klaipeda, and were defeated 2-0 at Dainava Alytus. The team has conceded at least two goals in each of those defeats.
BFA Vilnius shows mixed results with two wins and three losses in their last five. They beat Ekranas 3-0, won 1-0 at FK Kauno Zalgiris 2, but lost 3-0 to FK Kauno Zalgiris in the Cup, 1-0 at home to Hegelmann Litauen II, and 3-0 at Minija Kretinga. The away side has been inconsistent but still far more reliable than their hosts.
The head-to-head record is completely one-sided: BFA Vilnius has won all three previous meetings. The most recent clash was on July 2, 2026, when BFA Vilnius cruised to a 3-0 home victory. Earlier, on July 23, 2025, BFA won 1-0 at home, and on March 9, 2025, they beat Ekranas 2-0 away. Ekranas Panevezio has yet to score a single goal against this opponent.
BFA Vilnius sits 8th in the 1 Lyga standings with 22 points from 15 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 7 losses). Ekranas Panevezio is not listed among the top 12 teams in the provided table, indicating they are in the lower part of the league. The gap in quality is evident from the standings.
We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Ekranas Panevezio win – 20%, draw – 30%, BFA Vilnius win – 50%. Bookmakers’ odds implied the draw as the most likely result, but the head-to-head dominance (three BFA wins without conceding) and Ekranas’ five-match losing streak force a significant adjustment. Home advantage is heavily outweighed by form and history, making BFA Vilnius the clear favorite to take all three points.
Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: home win 3.50–3.75, draw 2.18–2.30, away win 2.40–2.50. These prices show the draw as the most probable outcome in the eyes of the market. However, based on the stats, head-to-head record, and current form, our Ekranas Panevezio vs BFA Vilnius prediction is an away win. BFA Vilnius has all the advantages and should secure the victory.