Utebo - Ejea prediction 1 March 2026
Utebo
Ejea
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The Segunda Federacion clash between Ejea and Utebo on Mar 01, 2026, at 11:00 sees the home side as the narrow favourite. Our Ejea vs Utebo prediction gives Ejea a 40% win probability, with a draw rated at 35% and an Utebo victory at 25%.
Team Form
Ejea’s last five matches have produced one win, one draw, and three defeats (L, D, L, W, L). They were beaten 5-1 by CD Basconia and 3-0 by Deportivo Alaves B, but did manage a 3-2 home win over Real Union de Irun. Utebo’s recent results are slightly better: two wins and three losses (L, L, L, W, W). They closed the season with a 1-0 home win over Ebro and a 2-1 victory at Mutilvera, but suffered defeats against Aguilas FC and Sestao River. Utebo’s late upturn gives them a small confidence edge, though both sides have struggled for consistency.
Head-to-Head Record
History strongly favours Ejea. In the overall head-to-head record, Ejea have won 3 times, Utebo just once, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent meeting, however, ended in a 2-2 stalemate when Utebo hosted Ejea. Before that, Ejea lost 0-2 at home to Utebo in November 2025, and the two previous Segunda Federacion encounters both finished 2-2. The trend suggests tight contests, with Ejea often holding the upper hand over the long term.
Win Probability: Ejea or Utebo?
We calculate Ejea’s win probability at 40%, the draw at 35%, and Utebo’s win at 25%. The reasoning combines three factors: Ejea’s home advantage, their superior head-to-head record (3 wins vs 1), and Utebo’s marginally better recent form. While Utebo ended the season with two wins, Ejea’s historical dominance and the venue tilt the percentages slightly in the home team’s favour. The high draw probability reflects the frequency of stalemates in this fixture.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. Based on the statistical indicators, the most likely outcome is a closely fought draw or a narrow Ejea win. Our prediction: Ejea to avoid defeat, with a low-scoring draw the most probable exact result. Caution is advised given both teams’ inconsistent form.
Ejea vs Utebo — FAQ
- Who will win Ejea vs Utebo?
- Ejea has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Utebo has a 25% chance. The home side’s historical advantage and venue give them a slight edge, but recent form makes a draw a realistic possibility.
- What is the win probability for Ejea?
- Ejea has a 40% win probability. This is based on their 3-1 head-to-head lead over Utebo and the fact they are playing at home, balanced against a mediocre run of one win in their last five matches.
- When is the Ejea vs Utebo match?
- The match takes place on Mar 01, 2026, at 11:00. It is a Segunda Federacion fixture in Spain.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds are not currently available for this match. Check back closer to kickoff for updated bookmaker prices.