El Farolito - Duluth FC prediction 19 July 2026
El Farolito
Duluth FCEl FarolitoDuluth FCEl Farolito
Sun City FCEl FarolitoCruizers FCReal San JoseEl FarolitoEl FarolitoReal San JoseSacramento RepublicEl FarolitoEl FarolitoHickory FCMichigan RangersEl FarolitoEl FarolitoCruizers FCEl FarolitoSacramento GoldEl FarolitoReal San JoseSacramento GoldEl FarolitoEl FarolitoCalifornia OdysseyEl FarolitoSacramento GoldOakland StompersEl FarolitoEl FarolitoDuluth FCMinnesota BlizzardDuluth FCJoy St Louis ParkDuluth FCMinnesota BlizzardDuluth FCForward Madison FCDuluth FCForward Madison FCDuluth FCDuluth FCMinnesota Twin StarsDuluth FCSioux Falls Thunder Duluth FCSioux Falls Thunder Duluth FCAris LimassolDuluth FCAris LimassolMed CityDuluth FCMinnesota Twin StarsDuluth FCDuluth FCDakota FusionSioux Falls Thunder Duluth FCEl FarolitoDuluth FCEl Farolito vs Duluth FC Prediction (Jul 19)
The El Farolito vs Duluth FC prediction for July 19, 2026, in the NPSL sees El Farolito as the clear favorite. Based on form, odds, and home advantage, El Farolito has a 68% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Duluth FC has a 12% chance.
Team Form
El Farolito comes into this match in dominant form. Their last five results are W, W, W, W, D. They have scored 23 goals in their last four NPSL matches, including a 12-0 win over Real San Jose and a 6-0 away victory against the same opponent. Their most recent match was a 2-0 home win against Sun City FC on Jul 13.
Duluth FC's recent form is mixed: W, D, W, L, L. Their last match was a strong 4-0 away win against Minnesota Blizzard on Jun 27. However, they suffered heavy defeats in the Open Cup, losing 5-1 and 2-0 to Forward Madison FC in 2025 and 2024 respectively.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no head-to-head record between El Farolito and Duluth FC. This will be the first meeting between the two sides.
League Table Positions
League table positions are not available in the provided data. However, El Farolito's perfect home record in the NPSL this season (four wins, no goals conceded in those matches) suggests they are near the top of their division. Duluth FC's away form in the NPSL is decent, with two wins and a draw in their last three away league games.
Win Probability: El Farolito or Duluth FC?
El Farolito has a 68% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Duluth FC has a 12% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of the best available odds (1.33 for home, 4.50 for draw, 7.90 for away), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. El Farolito's exceptional recent form, including multiple high-scoring wins and clean sheets, further supports their high probability. Duluth FC's inconsistent results and heavy Open Cup defeats lower their chances. Home advantage is a significant factor, as El Farolito has won all recent home NPSL matches without conceding.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see El Farolito as the strong favorite. The best available odds are 1.33 for an El Farolito win, 4.50 for a draw, and 7.90 for a Duluth FC victory. Another bookmaker offers 1.55, 2.72, and 7.90 respectively. Based on the stats, El Farolito's attacking power and defensive solidity at home make them the most likely winner. A home win is the predicted outcome.
El Farolito vs Duluth FC โ FAQ
- Who will win El Farolito vs Duluth FC?
- El Farolito is the most likely winner with a 68% probability. The draw has a 20% chance, and Duluth FC has a 12% chance. This is based on odds, team form, and home advantage.
- What is the win probability for El Farolito?
- El Farolito has a 68% chance of winning this match. This high probability reflects their dominant recent form (four wins in the last five) and the best available odds of 1.33 for a home victory.
- When is the El Farolito vs Duluth FC match?
- The match is on July 19, 2026, at 01:00 UTC. It is an NPSL fixture, the league competition in the USA.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are 1.33 for an El Farolito win, 4.50 for a draw, and 7.90 for a Duluth FC win. Another bookmaker offers 1.55, 2.72, and 7.90 respectively.