Dinamo Minsk Reserves - Arsenal Dzerzhinsk prediction 28 March 2026

The Dinamo Minsk Reserves vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk prediction for the Friendly Clubs match on Mar 28, 2026, at 14:30, points to a home win. Dinamo Minsk Reserves are the favorites with a 50% win probability, while the draw and an away win both sit at 25%.

Team Form

Dinamo Minsk Reserves (1 Liga) last five matches:

• Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-2 Dinamo Minsk Reserves (W)
• FC Ostrovets 1-1 Dinamo Minsk Reserves (D)
• Dinamo Minsk Reserves 3-1 Kommunalnik Slonim (W)
• FC BATE Borisov 2 3-2 Dinamo Minsk Reserves (L)
• Dinamo Minsk Reserves 2-1 Uni Minsk (W)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk (Vysshaya League) last five matches:

• Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3-5 Zenit St Petersburg II (L)
• Neman Grodno 0-1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk (W)
• Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1-1 Gomel (D)
• BATE Borisov 2-3 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk (W)
• Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk (W)

Both teams have collected 10 points from a possible 15 in their last five fixtures, showing consistent form. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's only defeat came in a friendly, while their league form is strong. Dinamo Minsk Reserves have been solid at home, winning two of their last three home matches.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met three times in the past, all in Friendly Clubs matches. Dinamo Minsk Reserves hold the edge with two wins, while Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have one victory. Excluding the most recent fixture (which is the subject of this prediction), Dinamo Minsk Reserves won both previous encounters by 2-1 scorelines — on Jan 21, 2026, and Feb 22, 2023.

Win Probability: Dinamo Minsk Reserves or Arsenal Dzerzhinsk?

After evaluating all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Dinamo Minsk Reserves 50%, Draw 25%, Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 25%. The home side benefits from playing at their own ground and a perfect head-to-head record in the two most recent meetings before this match. Although Arsenal Dzerzhinsk compete in the higher-tier Vysshaya League, the historical advantage and home factor tilt the balance in favor of Dinamo Minsk Reserves. Both teams show similar recent form, making a draw a realistic possibility, but the hosts are more likely to secure the win.

Odds & Match Prediction

No betting odds are currently available for this Friendly Clubs fixture. Based on the statistical analysis — including team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage — our prediction is a home win for Dinamo Minsk Reserves. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk could pose a threat, but the data suggests the hosts have the upper hand.