Dieppe - Thionville Lusitanos prediction 4 April 2026

Our Dieppe vs Thionville Lusitanos prediction for this National 2 match on April 4, 2026, at 16:00 leans towards an away win. Based on all available statistics, including the head-to-head record and recent team form, Thionville Lusitanos enters this match as the favorite with a 52% win probability, while Dieppe's chances are estimated at 28%.

Team Form

Dieppe's recent form is poor, with four losses in their last five matches (L, L, L, L, W). Their most recent outing was a 2-4 home defeat against Blois on May 16. Before that, they lost 1-3 to Haguenau, 0-1 to Wasquehal, and 0-3 to Chambly, with their only win coming against Bastia Borgo (2-1) on April 19.

Thionville Lusitanos also comes into this fixture with inconsistent form: three losses, one win, and one draw in their last five (L, L, L, W, D). Their last match ended in a heavy 0-4 home loss to Chambly on May 16, following a 0-3 defeat at Bastia Borgo and a 1-4 loss to Bourges Foot 18. However, they did secure a 3-1 home victory against Chantilly on April 25 and a 0-0 draw at Colmar on April 18.

Head-to-Head Record

In the history of this fixture, Thionville Lusitanos has the clear upper hand. Dieppe has never beaten Thionville Lusitanos in their two previous meetings. The away side has won both encounters. The most recent match, played on April 4, 2026, ended in a 3-2 victory for Thionville Lusitanos at Dieppe's home ground. Earlier in the season, on November 8, 2025, Thionville Lusitanos dominated with a 4-0 home win. The H2H record stands at 0 wins for Dieppe, 0 draws, and 2 wins for Thionville Lusitanos.

League Table Positions

Neither Dieppe nor Thionville Lusitanos are currently ranked in the top 12 of the National 2 overall league table provided. The available standings data does not include their positions, suggesting both teams are likely in the lower half of the table. Top-placed La Roche Vendee Football leads the overall table with 62 points.

Win Probability: Dieppe or Thionville Lusitanos?

Based on a detailed analysis of the available data, the win probability for each outcome is as follows: a Dieppe win stands at 28%, a draw is assessed at 20%, and a Thionville Lusitanos win is calculated at 52%. The assessment is anchored on the head-to-head record, where Thionville Lusitanos has a perfect record against Dieppe, including an away win at this very stadium. Recent form is also a factor; while both teams have struggled, Dieppe's four losses in five games highlight significant defensive frailties at home. Lacking specific odds data to normalize, we have weighted the convincing H2H away win heavily, balanced against the away team's own inconsistent form, leading to a probability distribution that clearly favors Thionville Lusitanos to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Match odds from bookmakers are currently unavailable for this fixture. Given the statistics, bookmakers would likely see Thionville Lusitanos as the favorite. Based on the stats alone, this match is expected to be won by Thionville Lusitanos. Their dominance in the head-to-head record and Dieppe's poor run of form make an away victory the most likely outcome.