Diambars - AS Douanes Dakar prediction 16 March 2026

Diambars vs AS Douanes Dakar prediction: The Ligue 2 match on Mar 16, 2026, at 16:30, sees Diambars as the slight favorites with a 40% win probability. AS Douanes Dakar have a 30% chance of winning, while the draw is also at 30%. Read on for our betting tips, team form, and head-to-head analysis.

Team Form

Diambars

Diambars come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings, recording two wins and three draws. Their recent results: a 4-0 away win at Niarry Tally NGB Dakar, a 0-0 draw at USC Saint Louis in the FA Cup, a 1-1 home draw with Asec Ndiambour, another 1-1 home draw against Dakar Universite Club, and a 3-2 away win at Pout SC in the FA Cup. They have scored 9 goals and conceded only 4 in this period, but the three draws—both home league games ending 1-1—show a tendency to share points.

AS Douanes Dakar

AS Douanes Dakar have been in strong form, winning three of their last five matches. Their recent run: a 3-0 home win over AS Saloum, a 2-1 home win against Teranga SC, a 1-0 away loss at AS Bambey, a 1-1 draw at Oslo FA Dakar, and a 2-1 home victory over Port Autonome. They have netted 8 goals and conceded 4 across these five games. Notably, their last two away trips produced a loss and a draw, which may temper expectations despite overall good results.

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head, Diambars hold the advantage with 6 wins to AS Douanes Dakar's 3, along with 3 draws. Looking at the last four meetings (excluding this fixture), the record is evenly split: a 0-0 draw in November 2025, a 1-1 draw in December 2024, a 3-0 Diambars win in June 2023, and a 2-1 AS Douanes Dakar win in December 2022. The recent trend suggests tight contests, with two draws in the last three encounters.

Win Probability: Diambars or AS Douanes Dakar?

Based on the available data—team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage—we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Diambars 40%, draw 30%, AS Douanes Dakar 30%. Diambars' unbeaten run and historical edge give them a slight upper hand, but AS Douanes Dakar's superior recent overall form and the frequency of draws in this fixture make the match too close to call with certainty. The most likely single outcome is a Diambars win, but a draw is a very real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this Ligue 2 encounter. Without odds to guide the market expectation, our prediction relies purely on the stats. Diambars are the narrow favorites, but the value may lie in the draw given the teams' recent drawing tendencies. Our Diambars vs AS Douanes Dakar prediction: a home win, but with low confidence. A 1-1 draw would not surprise.