Deportivo Toluca U21 - Universidad Nacional U21 prediction 21 July 2026
Deportivo Toluca U21
Universidad Nacional U21
Chivas Guadalajara U21Deportivo Toluca U21FC Juarez U21Deportivo Toluca U21Deportivo Toluca U21FC Juarez U21Deportivo Toluca U21Club Leon U21Mazatlan FC U21Deportivo Toluca U21Club America U21Deportivo Toluca U21Deportivo Toluca U21Atletico San Luis U21Queretaro U21Deportivo Toluca U21Pachuca U21Deportivo Toluca U21Deportivo Toluca U21Atlas U21Deportivo Toluca U21FC Juarez U21Universidad Nacional U21Deportivo Toluca U21Deportivo Toluca U21Chivas Guadalajara U21Necaxa U21Deportivo Toluca U21Deportivo Toluca U21Tijuana U21Universidad Nacional U21Pachuca U21Club America U21Universidad Nacional U21Universidad Nacional U21Club America U21Pachuca U21Universidad Nacional U21Universidad Nacional U21FC Juarez U21Atletico San Luis U21Universidad Nacional U21Universidad Nacional U21Mazatlan FC U21Chivas Guadalajara U21Universidad Nacional U21Necaxa U21Universidad Nacional U21Universidad Nacional U21Club America U21Universidad Nacional U21Cruz Azul U21Universidad Nacional U21Deportivo Toluca U21Tijuana U21Universidad Nacional U21Universidad Nacional U21Monterrey U21Puebla U21Universidad Nacional U21Universidad Nacional U21Deportivo Toluca U21Deportivo Toluca U21Universidad Nacional U21| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Tijuana U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Puebla U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Necaxa U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Santos Laguna U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Club Leon U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Atletico San Luis U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Cruz Azul U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Deportivo Toluca U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Pachuca U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Universidad Nacional U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Atlante U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |  Monterrey U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Atlas U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |  FC Juarez U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Queretaro U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 |  Tigres UANL U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Deportivo Toluca U21 vs Universidad Nacional U21 Prediction (Jul 21)
The Deportivo Toluca U21 vs Universidad Nacional U21 prediction for July 21, 2026, in Liga MX U21 points to a tight contest. Deportivo Toluca U21 enters as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while a draw stands at 35% and an away win at 25%.
Team Form
Deportivo Toluca U21 has shown mixed results in their last five matches: D, L, W, W, L. They drew 2-2 away at Chivas Guadalajara U21 on Jul 18, lost 0-3 at FC Juarez U21, then secured back-to-back home wins — 3-0 against FC Juarez U21 and 4-1 against Club Leon U21 — before a 1-2 loss at Mazatlan FC U21. The home victories highlight their attacking potential at home.
Universidad Nacional U21 comes into this match with a run of D, D, D, L, W. They drew 1-1 at home against Pachuca U21 on Jul 18, followed by two 1-1 draws with Club America U21 (away and home), a 0-3 loss at Pachuca U21, and a 3-2 home win over FC Juarez U21. The three consecutive draws underline their resilience, especially against strong opponents.
Head-to-Head Record
The H2H record heavily favors Universidad Nacional U21. In two previous meetings, they have won both:
- Mar 03, 2026: Universidad Nacional U21 1-0 Deportivo Toluca U21
- Aug 16, 2025: Deportivo Toluca U21 1-2 Universidad Nacional U21
Deportivo Toluca U21 has yet to beat this opponent, with an aggregate score of 1-3 across the two matches.
League Table Positions
Both teams have 1 point after one match in the Liga MX U21 overall standings. Deportivo Toluca U21 sits 10th (2 goals scored, 2 conceded), while Universidad Nacional U21 is 12th (1 goal scored, 1 conceded). Deportivo Toluca U21 has not yet played a home game this season; their point came from an away draw. Universidad Nacional U21 earned their point at home.
Win Probability: Deportivo Toluca U21 or Universidad Nacional U21?
Based on odds, form, H2H, and home advantage, the win probabilities are:
- Deportivo Toluca U21 win: 40%
- Draw: 35%
- Universidad Nacional U21 win: 25%
Bookmakers’ average implied probabilities (after removing the margin) were 38.5% home win, 37.5% draw, and 24% away win. We adjusted slightly upward for the home side due to their strong recent home performances (3-0, 4-1 wins) and the natural home advantage, while the away team’s perfect H2H record and draw-heavy form kept the draw and away probabilities significant. Deportivo Toluca U21 is more likely to win, but a draw is a very realistic outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers’ pre‑match odds (1X2) range as follows:
- Home win: 2.15 – 2.20
- Draw: 1.95 – 2.98
- Away win: 3.10 – 3.75
These odds reflect a tight match with no clear overwhelming favorite. Considering the stats, Deportivo Toluca U21’s home scoring power and Universidad Nacional U21’s defensive solidity, the most likely outcomes are a home win or a draw. Our prediction: Deportivo Toluca U21 to win or draw, with a 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline possible.
Deportivo Toluca U21 vs Universidad Nacional U21 — FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Toluca U21 vs Universidad Nacional U21?
- Deportivo Toluca U21 has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Universidad Nacional U21 has a 25% chance. The home side is the slight favorite, but the match is expected to be close.
- What is the win probability for Deportivo Toluca U21?
- Deportivo Toluca U21 has a 40% win probability. This is based on home advantage and their recent strong home wins (3-0 and 4-1), though the head-to-head record and away team’s form lower the certainty.
- When is the Deportivo Toluca U21 vs Universidad Nacional U21 match?
- The match is on July 21, 2026, at 15:00 UTC. It is a Liga MX U21 fixture in Mexico.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Pre‑match odds show a home win at 2.15–2.20, a draw at 1.95–2.98, and an away win at 3.10–3.75. These odds indicate a closely contested match with no clear favorite.