| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
The Deportivo Toluca U21 vs Queretaro U21 prediction for April 4, 2026, in the Liga MX U21 points to a tight contest. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Deportivo Toluca U21 enters as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while a draw stands at 30% and Queretaro U21 holds a 30% chance.
Deportivo Toluca U21's last five matches show inconsistency: L, W, W, L, D. They suffered a 3-0 away loss to FC Juarez U21 on May 2, but previously beat the same opponent 3-0 at home and crushed Club Leon U21 4-1. The 2-1 defeat at Mazatlan FC U21 and a 1-1 draw at Club America U21 underline their vulnerability on the road.
Queretaro U21's recent form is slightly steadier: D, D, W, L, W. They drew 2-2 at Puebla U21 and 1-1 at home to Cruz Azul U21, smashed Mazatlan FC U21 4-0 away, lost 1-2 at home to Necaxa U21, and beat Deportivo Toluca U21 2-1 in the reverse fixture on April 4. That win gives them a psychological edge.
The head-to-head is perfectly balanced with one home win each. In the most recent meeting on April 4, 2026, Queretaro U21 won 2-1 at home. Earlier, on October 18, 2025, Deportivo Toluca U21 triumphed 4-2 at home. Both matches produced over 2.5 goals, suggesting an open encounter.
Deportivo Toluca U21 sits 10th in the Liga MX U21 overall table with 21 points from 14 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses). They have scored 18 and conceded 17. Queretaro U21 is not in the top 12, indicating a lower position. The home advantage for Toluca could be crucial, though their home record is not among the league's best.
We calculate the win probabilities as: Deportivo Toluca U21 40%, draw 30%, Queretaro U21 30%. This assessment is based on the available form data, the even head-to-head, and Toluca's higher league ranking combined with home advantage. Queretaro's slightly better recent form and the head-to-head away win keep the contest finely balanced. No bookmaker odds are available to refine these numbers, so the estimate relies purely on statistical indicators.
No odds are provided for this fixture. Based on the stats, Deportivo Toluca U21 is the narrow favorite. The match is likely to be competitive, with both teams capable of scoring. A draw is a realistic outcome given the form lines. Our prediction: Deportivo Toluca U21 to win or draw, with a low-scoring affair possible.