EDP Independiente Medellin Women - Deportivo Pasto Women prediction 31 March 2026

Our Deportivo Pasto Women vs EDP Independiente Medellin Women prediction for the Primera Division Women match on Mar 31, 2026, gives EDP Independiente Medellin Women a 45% win probability, a 25% chance for the draw, and Deportivo Pasto Women a 30% chance. The match kicks off at 20:00 at Estadio Polideportivo Sur in Envigado. The visitors are slight favorites based on recent head-to-head record and slightly better form.

Team Form

Deportivo Pasto Women come into this match with five consecutive defeats (L, L, L, L, L). They lost 2-0 at Deportivo Cali Women, 3-1 at home to Atletico Nacional Colombia Women, 2-0 at America de Cali Women, 2-1 at home to Fortaleza CEIF Women, and 1-0 at Once Caldas Women. The team has struggled defensively, conceding multiple goals in four of those matches.

EDP Independiente Medellin Women have a mixed recent record: L, W, L, W, L. Their last five results include a 3-1 away loss to Millonarios Women, a 2-0 home win over Orsomarso Women, a 2-0 away loss to Independiente Santa Fe Women, a 3-0 home win over Atletico Bucaramanga Women, and a 1-0 away loss to Atletico Nacional Colombia Women. The away form is poor with three straight away defeats, but two convincing home wins suggest they can perform when they settle.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met three times since 2023. The head-to-head record shows 1 win for Deportivo Pasto Women, 0 draws, and 2 wins for EDP Independiente Medellin Women. The most recent encounter was on Mar 31, 2026, when EDP Independiente Medellin Women won 3-1 at home. Previously, Deportivo Pasto Women won 1-0 at home in March 2025, and EDP Independiente Medellin Women won 1-0 at home in April 2023. The away side has only won once in this fixture, so home advantage has often played a role, though recent form may override that pattern.

Win Probability: Deportivo Pasto Women or EDP Independiente Medellin Women?

We calculate win probabilities based on form, head-to-head, and home/away factors. Deportivo Pasto Women have a 30% chance of winning, the draw stands at 25%, and EDP Independiente Medellin Women hold a 45% chance. This distribution reflects the visitors' slightly better results against common opponents and a superior head-to-head record. Although Deportivo Pasto Women are at home, they have lost both recent home matches and are on a five-game losing streak. EDP Independiente Medellin Women’s away losses were against strong teams, so they remain the more likely winner, but not overwhelmingly so.

Odds & Match Prediction

At the time of writing, no bookmaker odds are available for this Primera Division Women fixture. Based on the available stats, our betting tips lean toward an away win or draw double chance. EDP Independiente Medellin Women have the edge in form and head-to-head, but their poor away record adds uncertainty. The match could be low scoring, with only two of the last six combined matches for both sides producing over 2.5 goals. A 1-0 or 2-1 away victory would not surprise.