Deportivo Mixco - Coban Imperial prediction 2 May 2026

Deportivo Mixco vs Coban Imperial prediction for the Liga Nacional fixture on May 02, 2026 at 21:00. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record and league table positions, Deportivo Mixco is the favorite with a 60% win probability, the draw is at 25% and Coban Imperial has a 15% chance to win.

Team Form

Deportivo Mixco come into this match with a mixed run in their last five outings: L, L, W, L, L. The only victory in that sequence was a 2‑0 home win against Coban Imperial, while the other four games were all defeats, including two heavy losses to CSD Municipal (5‑0 and 2‑0). At home, however, they have been a different side all season, remaining unbeaten in the league with 8 wins and 3 draws.

Coban Imperial's recent away form reads L, W, L, W, L. They lost their last away trip 2‑0 at Deportivo Mixco, but did beat the same opponent 2‑0 at home just three days earlier. Inconsistency has been a theme, with away defeats to Malacateco and Xelaju interspersed with a win at Achuapa.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last nine meetings between these two sides, Deportivo Mixco have won 4, Coban Imperial have won 3 and there have been 2 draws. At the Estadio Santo Domingo, the home side has a clear edge: the last three encounters ended 2‑0, 1‑1 and 1‑0, meaning Mixco won twice and drew once without losing. Overall, the head-to-head slightly favours the hosts.

League Table Positions

Deportivo Mixco are 3rd in the Liga Nacional overall table with 36 points from 22 matches (10W, 6D, 6L). Their home form is outstanding – 2nd in the home standings with 27 points from 11 games, scoring 20 and conceding just 8. Coban Imperial sit 6th overall with 32 points. Their away record is much weaker: they are 6th in the away table with only 9 points from 11 away matches, having managed just 2 wins and 6 defeats.

Win Probability: Deportivo Mixco or Coban Imperial?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Deportivo Mixco win – 60%, Draw – 25%, Coban Imperial win – 15%. This estimation is driven by Mixco’s perfect home record this season (8 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) and Coban Imperial’s poor away form (2 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses). While Mixco’s recent overall results have been poor, the direct H2H at home and the massive discrepancy between home and away performances strongly point to a home victory. Coban Imperial would need a significant upset to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds data is available for this match in the supplied information. Bookmakers would typically price Deportivo Mixco as favourites given their unblemished home record and the hosts’ dominance in recent head-to-head meetings at this venue. Based on the stats, our prediction sides with a home win – Deportivo Mixco to take all three points in a low-scoring encounter, with a 2‑0 or 1‑0 scoreline being probable.