Defensa y Justicia Reserves - CA Aldosivi Reserve prediction 23 July 2025

The Defensa y Justicia Reserves vs CA Aldosivi Reserve prediction for July 23, 2025, in the Liga Profesional Reserves sees the away side as the slight favorite. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, CA Aldosivi Reserve has a 52% chance of winning, while Defensa y Justicia Reserves sits at 24%, with a 24% probability of a draw.

Team Form

Defensa y Justicia Reserves come into this match with a mixed run of results: L, D, W, L, D in their last five outings. They have struggled for consistency, most recently falling 1-0 away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Reserve on July 13. Their home form shows a win and a draw in the last two at their own ground, but a heavy 5-0 defeat at Boca Juniors Reserves earlier in June exposed defensive vulnerabilities.

CA Aldosivi Reserve's recent form reads D, W, W, L, D. They are unbeaten in three of their last five, including a 2-0 away win at CA Barracas Central Reserves and a 1-0 home victory over Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves. A 2-2 draw at Godoy Cruz Reserves in their most recent match shows they can score on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is limited to one previous meeting. In that sole encounter, CA Aldosivi Reserve secured a 2-0 away victory against Defensa y Justicia Reserves on July 23, 2025. This gives the away side a psychological edge, with 1 win from 1 match.

League Table Positions

Defensa y Justicia Reserves sit 7th in the overall standings with 32 points from 18 matches, having scored 38 goals and conceded 24. Their home form is not listed in the top 8, suggesting they may be stronger on the road. CA Aldosivi Reserve's overall position is not provided, but their away form is not in the top 8 either, indicating a potentially tight contest between two mid-table sides.

Win Probability: Defensa y Justicia Reserves or CA Aldosivi Reserve?

We calculate the win probability as follows: CA Aldosivi Reserve has a 52% chance to win, Defensa y Justicia Reserves has a 24% chance, and the draw is at 24%. This assessment is based on the away team's superior recent form (unbeaten in three of five), the only H2H result being a 2-0 away win for Aldosivi, and the lack of a strong home advantage for Defensa in the standings. Without odds data to normalize, the form and H2H record are the primary drivers, giving CA Aldosivi Reserve the edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available in the data for this match. Based purely on the stats, CA Aldosivi Reserve is the more likely winner. Their recent away performances and the head-to-head victory suggest they can secure another positive result. However, Defensa y Justicia Reserves' ability to score goals (38 in 18 games) means a draw is a realistic outcome. Our prediction: CA Aldosivi Reserve to win, but with caution given the balanced probabilities.