Dainava Alytus - Siauliai Futbolo Akademija prediction 19 September 2025

The Dainava Alytus vs Siauliai Futbolo Akademija prediction gives a clear answer to who will win this A Lyga clash on Sep 19, 2025, at 16:30. Siauliai Futbolo Akademija is the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Dainava Alytus has a 30% chance, and a draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Dainava Alytus comes into this match in excellent shape, winning four of their last five fixtures. In their most recent outings, they secured a 1–0 home victory over Neptunas Klaipeda (Jun 27), a 1–1 draw against Transinvest in the Cup (Jun 24), a 5–0 thrashing of FA Siauliai B (Jun 21), a 2–0 away win at FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 (Jun 12), and a 1–0 home success against Garliava (Jun 08). That’s four clean sheets in five games and a strong attacking display.

Siauliai Futbolo Akademija, on the other hand, has struggled badly. They lost four of their last five matches. Their last five results include a 0–3 home loss to Zalgiris Vilnius (Jul 05), a 1–3 home defeat against Transinvest (Jun 29), a 2–1 home win over Dziugas Telsiai in the Cup (Jun 24), a 2–3 away loss at Baltija Panevezys (Jun 20), and a 1–2 away defeat at Suduva Marijampole (Jun 16). With only one victory in that run, confidence will be low.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, these sides have met 13 times in the past, with Dainava Alytus winning 3, Siauliai Futbolo Akademija winning 7, and 3 draws. Looking at their last four encounters (excluding the current fixture), Siauliai has dominated recent meetings. In the 2025 A Lyga season alone, Siauliai won 3–1 at home on Jul 28, won 2–1 at Dainava on May 11, and drew 2–2 at home on Mar 8. Dainava’s last win came in November 2024, a 3–2 home victory. The recent h2h clearly favors the away side.

League Table Positions

The provided A Lyga standings do not include Dainava Alytus, so their league position is not known from the available data. Siauliai Futbolo Akademija sits 9th in the 10-team table with 13 points from 19 matches (2 wins, 7 draws, 10 losses), scoring only 18 goals and conceding 37. Their away form is not listed among the top eight, indicating poor traveling performances.

Win Probability: Dainava Alytus or Siauliai Futbolo Akademija?

Based on all available stats, Siauliai Futbolo Akademija has a 45% chance of winning, Dainava Alytus a 30% chance, and the draw is estimated at 25%. This calculation considers the recent h2h record where Siauliai won three of the last four meetings, their status as an A Lyga club (while Dainava’s league position is missing from the top division table), and the visitors’ slight overall head-to-head lead (7 wins to 3). However, Dainava’s superb current form, with four wins in five, and their home advantage keep them within striking distance. The 25% draw probability reflects Siauliai’s seven draws this season and the fact that one of the last four h2hs ended level.

Match Prediction

Although Dainava Alytus is in better form, the head-to-head numbers and the division gap suggest Siauliai Futbolo Akademija is the more likely winner. Our prediction is a narrow away win, but a draw is a real possibility given the home side’s momentum. The stats point towards a low-scoring affair, consistent with Dainava’s recent defensive solidity and Siauliai’s scoring difficulties.