Daegu FC - Suwon City prediction 25 July 2026

The Daegu FC vs Suwon City prediction for this K-League 2 match on July 25, 2026, at 10:30 UTC points to a home advantage. Based on form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Daegu FC enters as the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Suwon City has a 22% chance and the draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Daegu FC are unbeaten in their last five league matches, recording three wins and two draws. They beat Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma 3-2 at home and Paju Citizen FC 1-0, while drawing 1-1 away at Gimpo Citizen FC and Yongin City FC. The only high-scoring away win was a 5-1 thrashing of Cheongju Jikji. This run shows consistent scoring and defensive solidity.

Suwon City also come into this match without a loss in their last five outings, but with more draws. They drew 2-2 at home against Seoul E-Land, 2-2 away at Cheonan City, and 0-0 at home to Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma. Their wins were a 5-0 home demolition of Jeonnam Dragons and a 3-1 away victory at Ansan Greeners. The away form includes two wins and three draws in the last five, indicating resilience but a tendency to share points.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record heavily favors Daegu FC: 7 wins, 10 draws, and only 2 Suwon City victories. The last five meetings show a clear pattern:

• Apr 11, 2026: Suwon City 2-2 Daegu FC (K-League 2)
• Nov 02, 2025: Suwon City 1-1 Daegu FC (K-League 1)
• Aug 30, 2025: Daegu FC 3-1 Suwon City (K-League 1)
• May 06, 2025: Suwon City 2-1 Daegu FC (K-League 1)
• Feb 22, 2025: Daegu FC 3-1 Suwon City (K-League 1)

Daegu FC have won both home fixtures in this sample by a 3-1 scoreline, while Suwon City’s only win came at home. The two most recent clashes ended in draws, suggesting a tightening rivalry, but Daegu’s home dominance remains a key factor.

League Table Positions

Daegu FC sit 2nd in the K-League 2 standings with 32 points from 17 matches (9 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses). Their home record is particularly strong: 2nd in the home table with 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 19 goals and conceding 12. Suwon City are 4th with 30 points (8 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses). Away from home, they rank 5th with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 18 and conceding 15. The two-point gap and home advantage tilt the scales toward Daegu FC.

Win Probability: Daegu FC or Suwon City?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds (1.80 home, 2.50 draw, 3.60 away) and adjusting for recent form and H2H, the calculated win probabilities are:

• Daegu FC win: 48%
• Draw: 30%
• Suwon City win: 22%

Daegu FC’s unbeaten home form, historical edge in this fixture, and higher league position justify the increase from the raw implied probability. Suwon City’s away resilience keeps the draw probability significant, but a home win is the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Daegu FC as the clear favorite, offering odds around 1.80 for a home victory. The draw is priced at 2.50, and an away win for Suwon City at 3.60. These odds reflect the home team’s superiority in the matchup. Based on the stats, the Daegu FC vs Suwon City prediction is a home win, but the high draw probability suggests a tight contest. A 2-1 or 1-0 scoreline in favor of Daegu FC aligns with the data.