Cusco FC - Atletico Grau prediction 23 May 2026

Our Cusco FC vs Atletico Grau prediction for the May 23, 2026 Primera Division match points to a home win. Cusco FC enters the game as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Atletico Grau has a 20% chance of an upset and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Cusco FC's recent form before this match shows two consecutive losses. They fell 1-0 away to Sport Boys on May 17 and lost 3-2 at home to Independiente Medellin in the Copa Libertadores on May 21. Those defeats came after a mixed run of results.

Atletico Grau's last two matches produced a win and a loss. They beat Universitario de Deportes 1-0 away on May 16, a strong result, but slipped to a 2-1 home defeat against Cienciano on May 9. Their form is inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in the last five outings.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between Cusco FC and Atletico Grau show a balanced rivalry with three draws. Cusco FC won the most recent clash 1-0 at home in October 2025 and also won 1-0 at home in an earlier fixture. Atletico Grau's only victory in this stretch was a 1-0 away win in October 2024. The remaining encounters were 0-0 draws, including a Copa Sudamericana match in March 2025. Overall, Cusco FC has 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in the head-to-head series.

League Table Positions

Cusco FC sits 6th in the Primera Division overall standings with 27 points from 17 matches (8 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses). At home, they are 7th with 17 points from 8 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), showing a strong home record. Atletico Grau is outside the top 12 in the league table, indicating a lower position and fewer points. The gap in standings reinforces Cusco FC's favorite status.

Win Probability: Cusco FC or Atletico Grau?

Based on all available data, Cusco FC has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Atletico Grau has a 20% chance. Cusco FC's strong home form (5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) and higher league position give them a clear edge. The head-to-head history also favors the home side, with two 1-0 wins in their last three home meetings. Atletico Grau's away win over Universitario shows they can cause problems, but their overall inconsistency and lower table rank make an away win less likely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not available in the data. However, based on the stats, Cusco FC are the clear favorites to win. The home advantage, recent H2H results, and league table positions all point to a home victory. Our prediction is a 1-0 or 2-0 win for Cusco FC, matching the low-scoring trend of their head-to-head contests.