Cusco FC - Alianza Atletico prediction 18 July 2026
Cusco FC
Alianza Atletico
AD TarmaCusco FCFlamengo RJCusco FCCusco FCAtletico GrauCusco FCEDP Independiente MedellinSport BoysCusco FCCusco FCLos Chankas CYCCusco FCEstudiantes La PlataSporting CristalCusco FCEDP Independiente MedellinCusco FCCusco FCSport HuancayoCusco FCFC CajamarcaAlianza LimaCusco FCEstudiantes La PlataCusco FCCusco FCFlamengo RJFBC MelgarCusco FCFBC MelgarAlianza AtleticoTigreAlianza AtleticoAlianza AtleticoFC CajamarcaMacaraAlianza AtleticoJuan Pablo IIAlianza AtleticoDeportivo GarcilasoAlianza AtleticoAlianza AtleticoAmerica de CaliAlianza AtleticoSport HuancayoAlianza AtleticoMacaraUniversitario De DeportesAlianza AtleticoComerciantes UnidosAlianza AtleticoAlianza AtleticoSport BoysAmerica de CaliAlianza AtleticoAlianza AtleticoTigreAlianza AtleticoAtletico Grau| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 3.78 | 6.00 | |
| 1.65 | 2.18 | 4.70 | |
| 1.63 | 2.20 | 4.75 | |
| 1.62 | 2.25 | 4.75 | |
| 1.60 | 2.20 | 4.60 | |
| 1.57 | 2.30 | 5.00 |
- 8Aldair Fuentesdefender
- 6Alvaro Ampuerodefender
- 88Diego Sotomidfielder
- 10Iván Colmanmidfielder
- 7Jose Manzanedamidfielder
- 21José Zevallosdefender
- 11Juan Manuel Tévezforward
- 22Lucas Colittoforward
- 24Marlon Ruidíasdefender
- 16Oswaldo Valenzuelamidfielder
- 28Pedro Díazgoalkeeper
- 4Alex Custodio
- 13Andy Vidal
- 14Carlo Diez
- 2Carlos Gamarra
- 9Facundo Julián Callejo
- 37Gu Choi
- 77Joel Herrera
- 17José Alí
- 15José Bolívar
- 5Miguel Aucca
- 26Nicolas Silva
- 24Anthony Gordillodefender
- 23Ariel Muñozmidfielder
- 95Daniel Prietogoalkeeper
- 8Franchesco Floresforward
- 10Germán Díazmidfielder
- 15Hernan Lupumidfielder
- 20Jimmy Pérezmidfielder
- 22Jorge del Castillomidfielder
- 6José Lujándefender
- 4José Villegasdefender
- 25Williams Guzmándefender
- 77Cristhian Valladolid
- 17Cristian Penilla
- 21Erick Perleche
- 11Guillermo Larios
- 19Jesús Mendieta
- 28Jesus Rossi
- 37Juan Delgado
- 40Juan Quiñones
- 14Luiggi Alburqueque
- 99Mariano Barreda
- 2Román Suárez
- 16Stefano Fernández
- 9Valentín Robaldo
Alianza AtleticoCusco FCCusco FCAlianza AtleticoAlianza AtleticoCusco FCCusco FCAlianza AtleticoAlianza AtleticoCusco FCCusco FCAlianza AtleticoCusco FCAlianza AtleticoAlianza AtleticoCusco FCAlianza AtleticoCusco FCCusco FCAlianza Atletico| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 |
| 2 |  Los Chankas CYC | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 |
| 3 |  Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 |
| 4 |  Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 |
| 5 |  FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 |  Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 |  UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 |  Cesar Vallejo Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
| 17 |  Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 |  Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico Prediction (Jul 18)
The Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico prediction points to a home victory when these two sides meet in Peru's Primera Division on July 18, 2026, at 23:30. Based on the latest stats and odds, Cusco FC has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Alianza Atletico has a 20% chance. The match at Estadio Garcilaso sees the hosts as clear favorites.
Team Form
Cusco FC's recent form has been inconsistent, with a W-L-W-L-L pattern in their last five matches. They secured a 2-1 away win at AD Tarma and a 1-0 home victory over Atletico Grau, but suffered defeats to Flamengo RJ (3-0) and EDP Independiente Medellin (2-3) in the Copa Libertadores, plus a 1-0 loss at Sport Boys. Alianza Atletico arrive with a L-L-D-D-W run. They lost 3-1 at FBC Melgar and 2-0 at Tigre in the Copa Sudamericana, drew 1-1 with FC Cajamarca and 0-0 at Macara, but did manage a 2-0 win at Juan Pablo II.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Cusco FC, who lead with 6 wins to Alianza Atletico's 4, with no draws in their 10 meetings. The most recent clash on February 1, 2026, saw Alianza Atletico win 1-0 at home. However, Cusco FC won the previous encounter 1-0 at home in August 2025. Historically, the home side has dominated this fixture, with Cusco FC winning the last three home matches against Alianza Atletico, including a 2-0 victory in March 2024.
League Table Positions
In the overall Primera Division standings, Cusco FC sit 6th with 27 points from 17 matches (8 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses), while Alianza Atletico are 8th with 21 points (5 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses). The home/away splits reveal a significant gap: Cusco FC are strong at home, ranked 7th with 17 points from 8 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) and a solid defensive record of just 6 goals conceded. Alianza Atletico's away form is poor, ranked 7th with only 8 points from 9 road trips (2 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses).
Win Probability: Cusco FC or Alianza Atletico?
After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are: Cusco FC 55%, draw 25%, Alianza Atletico 20%. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.57, draw 2.18, away 4.60) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for Cusco FC's superior home record, better league position, dominant home H2H history, and Alianza Atletico's struggles on the road. Cusco FC are the clear favorites to win this match.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Cusco FC as the strong favorite, with home win odds ranging from 1.57 to 1.67. The draw is priced between 2.18 and 2.96, while an Alianza Atletico away win is a long shot at 4.60 to 5.50. Based on the stats, the home advantage at Estadio Garcilaso, and the head-to-head trend, the most likely outcome is a Cusco FC victory. A low-scoring match is expected, given both teams' recent goal records.
Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico — FAQ
- Who will win Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico?
- Cusco FC are the favorites to win, with a calculated 55% probability. The draw has a 25% chance, while Alianza Atletico have a 20% chance of an away victory.
- What is the win probability for Cusco FC?
- Cusco FC have a 55% chance of winning. This is based on their strong home form (5 wins in 8 games), a higher league position (6th vs 8th), and a dominant home head-to-head record against Alianza Atletico.
- When is the Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico match?
- The match is scheduled for July 18, 2026, at 23:30 local time. It is a Primera Division fixture in Peru, played at Estadio Garcilaso in Cusco.
- What are the odds for Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico?
- The best available odds are 1.57 for a Cusco FC home win, 2.18 for the draw, and 4.60 for an Alianza Atletico away win. The full range of odds sees the home win between 1.57 and 1.67.