Cucuta Deportivo - Deportes Tolima prediction 23 February 2026

The Primera A clash between Cucuta Deportivo and Deportes Tolima kicks off on Feb 23 at 21:00. Our Cucuta Deportivo vs Deportes Tolima prediction leans towards the visitors as the slight favourite, with Deportes Tolima holding a 35% win probability.

Team Form

Cucuta Deportivo enters this match with a run of L, D, D, D, L in their last five games across all competitions. Notably, they have failed to win any of these outings, scoring only two goals while conceding five. At home, the picture is equally concerning: their last two home matches ended goalless against Fortaleza Zipaquira and Leones FC, extending a winless streak at their own ground.

Deportes Tolima’s recent form reads D, L, L, L, W. They picked up a much-needed 2-0 victory at Deportivo Pasto in their most recent Primera A away match. However, in the three games before that, they suffered heavy defeats to Atletico Nacional Medellin and Coquimbo Unido, and were held to a draw by Universitario De Deportes. That lone win offers a glimmer of confidence, but consistency remains a serious issue.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Deportes Tolima have had the upper hand in this fixture. From the eight most recent meetings, the head-to-head record stands at 2 Cucuta Deportivo wins, 1 draw, and 5 Deportes Tolima victories. In their last encounter on Oct 11, 2020 at this stadium, Tolima cruised to a 0-3 away win. Cucuta Deportivo’s last home victory over Tolima came in Feb 2026 (the reverse fixture ended 3-2), but the overall trend strongly favours the visitors.

League Table Positions

Both sides are yet to play a league match this season, so the Primera A standings show Cucuta Deportivo and Deportes Tolima locked on 0 points alongside every other team. No table advantage exists; this match is a blank slate where only historical and form data can guide the prediction.

Win Probability: Cucuta Deportivo or Deportes Tolima?

After combining all available data — team form, head-to-head record, and the start-of-season context — we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Cucuta Deportivo win 30%, draw 35%, Deportes Tolima win 35%.

Cucuta Deportivo’s winless streak and inability to score at home heavily reduce their chances. Deportes Tolima’s away performances have been poor, but their dominant head-to-head record (5 wins in 8 meetings) and the recent away victory at Deportivo Pasto give them a marginal edge. The 35% draw probability reflects both teams’ struggles to secure wins and the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring affair.

Odds & Match Prediction

At the time of writing, bookmaker odds for Cucuta Deportivo vs Deportes Tolima are not available. With no market prices to guide the analysis, our prediction is built purely on the statistical evidence. Based on the stats, Deportes Tolima is the slight favourite to win, but a draw is an equally realistic outcome. The match outcome that the data supports most strongly is a low-scoring contest where either a narrow Tolima win or a stalemate is the likeliest scenario.