Atletico San Luis U21 - Cruz Azul U21 prediction 17 July 2026

The Atletico San Luis U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 prediction for July 17, 2026, points to an away win in this Liga MX U21 clash. Based on our win probability analysis, Cruz Azul U21 has a 40% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 35% and Atletico San Luis U21 at 25%. The match kicks off at 15:00.

Team Form

Atletico San Luis U21 come into this match with inconsistent results. Their last five outings show one win, two draws, and two losses (L, W, D, L, D). They lost 2-1 away to FC Juarez U21 on Apr 25, then beat Santos Laguna U21 3-2 at home on Apr 22. A 1-1 home draw against Universidad Nacional U21 on Apr 17 was followed by a 2-1 loss at Deportivo Toluca U21 on Apr 12, and a 2-2 draw at Monterrey U21 on Mar 26.

Cruz Azul U21 have been more solid, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five (W, D, W, L, D). They defeated Necaxa U21 3-1 at home on Apr 26, drew 1-1 away to Queretaro U21 on Apr 21, beat Tijuana U21 1-0 at home on Apr 18, lost 1-0 at Club America U21 on Apr 11, and played a 0-0 home draw against Pachuca U21 on Apr 4. The away side’s form gives them a slight edge.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before in Liga MX U21. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced: one home win for each side, no draws. On Mar 7, 2026, Cruz Azul U21 won 1-0 at home. Earlier, on Aug 11, 2025, Atletico San Luis U21 won 1-0 at home. Both matches were low-scoring, which could hint at another tight contest.

League Table Positions

Cruz Azul U21 sit 6th in the overall standings with 25 points from 15 matches (7 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses, 18 goals scored, 11 conceded). Atletico San Luis U21 are outside the top 12. In home form, Cruz Azul U21 rank 5th with 16 points from 9 games (4W, 4D, 1L). Their away record is 7th, with 9 points from 6 matches (3W, 0D, 3L). Atletico San Luis U21 do not appear in the top eight for home or away standings, indicating a weaker campaign.

Win Probability: Atletico San Luis U21 or Cruz Azul U21?

Our calculated win probabilities are: Atletico San Luis U21 – 25%, draw – 35%, Cruz Azul U21 – 40%. We started from the bookmaker odds (home 3.25, draw 2.00, away 3.25) and adjusted for team form, head-to-head, and league positions. Cruz Azul U21’s better recent results and higher table rank increase their chances, while the head-to-head balance and home advantage keep the draw and home win probabilities meaningful. The most likely outcome is an away victory for Cruz Azul U21.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a very open match. The 1X2 odds from one bookmaker are 3.25 for a home win, 2.00 for the draw, and 3.25 for an away win. The low draw odds suggest a tight, low-scoring affair is expected. Based on the stats, Cruz Azul U21 are the value pick. Our final Atletico San Luis U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 prediction is an away win, but a draw is a real possibility given the odds and H2H history.