New York Red Bulls II - Crown prediction 24 July 2026

The New York Red Bulls II vs Crown prediction for this MLS Next Pro match on July 24, 2026, at 23:00 points toward a competitive contest. Based on the available data, Crown enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while New York Red Bulls II has a 35% chance, and the draw sits at 20%.

Team Form

New York Red Bulls II's recent form has been inconsistent, with results showing L, L, D, W, W in their last five matches. They suffered two away defeats against Connecticut United (2-1) and Chicago Fire II (3-0), followed by a 2-2 draw at FC Cincinnati II. However, they bounced back impressively at home, thrashing Philadelphia Union II 5-0 and Toronto II 5-0.

Crown's last five results read W, L, D, D, D. They secured a 3-2 home win over Chicago Fire II but then lost 0-3 at home to NYC New York City II. Three consecutive draws followed: 1-1 with Orlando City II, a 3-3 thriller at Atlanta United II, and a 0-0 stalemate at Huntsville City.

Head-to-Head Record

In three previous meetings, New York Red Bulls II holds the edge with 1 win and 2 draws; Crown has never won. The most recent clash on June 4, 2025, saw New York Red Bulls II dominate with a 5-2 away victory. The two earlier encounters in 2023 both ended in 1-1 draws.

League Table Positions

Crown sits 3rd in the overall MLS Next Pro standings with 39 points from 18 matches (13 wins, 5 losses), scoring 44 goals and conceding 27. New York Red Bulls II is 10th with 30 points from 19 matches (10 wins, 9 losses), with 40 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home, Crown is formidable (1st place, 24 points from 10 games), while New York Red Bulls II's away form is not detailed in the standings.

Win Probability: New York Red Bulls II or Crown?

Analyzing all available data, Crown has a 45% chance of winning, New York Red Bulls II has a 35% chance, and the draw is at 20%. This calculation is based on the inverse of implied odds, adjusted for team form and head-to-head history. Crown's higher league position and strong home record boost their probability, but New York Red Bulls II's unbeaten H2H record (1W, 2D) and recent high-scoring home wins prevent Crown from being an overwhelming favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific bookmaker odds were provided in the data. Based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Crown as the favorite due to their 3rd-place standing and home advantage. However, the head-to-head record suggests New York Red Bulls II is a dangerous opponent. The final prediction is a closely fought match, with Crown slightly more likely to win, but a draw is a realistic outcome given Crown's three recent stalemates.