| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:9 | +14 | 23 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21:6 | +15 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:5 | +12 | 16 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 9 | |
| 7 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 | |
| 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 8 | |
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 8 | |
| 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10:25 | -15 | 4 |
The Criciuma SC U20 vs Concordia SC U20 prediction for July 15, 2026, in the Campeonato Catarinense U20 points to a home victory. Criciuma SC U20 enters the match as the clear favorite with a 52% win probability, while Concordia SC U20 faces an uphill battle at just 16%. The draw probability stands at 32%, reflecting the tight head-to-head history between these sides.
Criciuma SC U20 is in excellent shape, unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins. Their recent results: a 0-0 away draw at Avai SC U20 (Jul 11), a 2-1 home win over Barra SC U20 (Jul 08), a 1-0 away win at Nacao SC U20 (Jul 04), a 3-2 home win against Gremio RS U20 (Jul 01), and a 2-1 away victory at Vasco da Gama RJ U20 (Jun 25). This run shows both defensive solidity and attacking threat.
Concordia SC U20, by contrast, has struggled. Their last five outings: a 2-1 away loss to Nacao SC U20 (Jul 11), a 1-0 home win over Joinville SC U20 (Jul 06), a 3-2 away defeat at Carlos Renaux U20 (Jun 21), a 3-1 away loss to Chapecoense SC U20 (Jun 10), and a 1-1 home draw with Avai SC U20 (May 23). Only one win in that span, with three losses, highlights their inconsistency.
The last three meetings between these teams have been low-scoring and competitive. On Apr 17, 2026, Concordia SC U20 won 1-0 at home. The other two clashes ended in goalless draws: 0-0 at Criciuma SC U20 on Jul 12, 2025, and 0-0 at Concordia SC U20 on May 10, 2025. Criciuma SC U20 has yet to beat Concordia SC U20 (0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), a stat that adds caution to any outright home win prediction.
In the Campeonato Catarinense U20 standings, Criciuma SC U20 sits 3rd with 16 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss), scoring 17 and conceding only 5. Concordia SC U20 is 7th with 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses), with a goal difference of 7:15. At home, Criciuma SC U20 is unbeaten: 2 wins and 3 draws from 5 games, 8 goals scored and just 2 conceded. Concordia SC U20's away form is not among the league's top eight, underlining their travel difficulties.
After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for recent form and league positions, the win probabilities are: Criciuma SC U20 win – 52%, Draw – 32%, Concordia SC U20 win – 16%. The initial odds implied a 48% home win chance, but Criciuma's four wins in five and an unbeaten home record boost that figure. Concordia's poor away results and low scoring output (7 goals in 9 games) reduce their chances. The head-to-head history, with two draws in three meetings, keeps the draw probability significant. Overall, Criciuma SC U20 is the more likely winner.
Bookmakers see Criciuma SC U20 as the favorite. One bookmaker offers odds of 1.91 for a home win, 2.38 for the draw, and 6.50 for an away win. Another lists 1.88, 2.40, and 5.75 respectively. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a Criciuma SC U20 victory, but the head-to-head record suggests a tight, possibly low-scoring affair. A draw cannot be ruled out, but the home side's form and defensive strength tip the scales in their favor.