Corum Belediyespor - Erzurum Buyuksehir prediction 2 May 2026

Our Corum Belediyespor vs Erzurum Buyuksehir prediction for May 02, 2026, in the Turkish 1st League points to a tight contest. Based on the league table and recent form, Erzurum Buyuksehir enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while the home side has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Corum Belediyespor's recent form reads W, W, L, W, D. They secured a 2-0 away win at Erokspor on May 24, followed by a 1-0 home victory over Bodrumspor on May 15. A 1-0 loss at Bodrumspor on May 11 interrupted their run, but they bounced back with a 1-0 home win against Ankara Keciorengucu on May 07. Their last match was a 1-1 home draw with Erzurum Buyuksehir on May 02.

Erzurum Buyuksehir's last five results show D, D, D, W, W. They drew 1-1 away at Corum Belediyespor on May 02, drew 1-1 at home with Bandirmaspor on Apr 26, and drew 1-1 away at Bodrumspor on Apr 19. Before those stalemates, they beat Boluspor 2-0 at home on Apr 13 and won 1-0 at Istanbulspor on Apr 09.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, Erzurum Buyuksehir holds a slight edge with 2 wins to Corum Belediyespor's 1, alongside 2 draws. The most recent clash on May 02, 2026, ended 1-1. Erzurum won 1-0 at home on Dec 28, 2025, and the Apr 09, 2025, fixture finished 1-1. Corum's sole win in this span was a 4-1 home victory on Dec 10, 2023, while Erzurum also won 1-0 away on Nov 30, 2024.

League Table Positions

Erzurum Buyuksehir finished the season top of the 1st League with 81 points from 38 matches (23 wins, 12 draws, 3 losses). They scored 82 goals and conceded only 27. Corum Belediyespor ended in 4th place with 71 points (21 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses), scoring 63 and conceding 39. At home, Corum ranked 3rd with 41 points from 19 games (12 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses). Erzurum had the best away record, collecting 38 points from 19 trips (11 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses).

Win Probability: Corum Belediyespor or Erzurum Buyuksehir?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Erzurum Buyuksehir 45%, Corum Belediyespor 30%, and the draw 25%. This assessment is based on Erzurum's superior league position (1st vs 4th), their best away record in the division, and a head-to-head advantage. Corum's strong home form (12 wins in 19) keeps them competitive, but Erzurum's consistency — only 3 losses all season — makes them the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a closely matched contest. While specific odds are not provided in the data, the stats suggest Erzurum Buyuksehir should be the favorite. Based on the form, H2H, and table positions, our Corum Belediyespor vs Erzurum Buyuksehir betting tip leans toward an away win, but the draw is a realistic outcome given three of the last five H2H meetings ended level.