CF Rayo Majadahonda - Conquense prediction 18 January 2026
CF Rayo Majadahonda
ConquenseCF Rayo Majadahonda
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Conquense vs CF Rayo Majadahonda prediction: this Segunda Federacion match on Jan 18, 2026 sees CF Rayo Majadahonda as the strong favorite with a 50% chance to win. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and the home/away factor, the visitors are expected to continue their dominance. Conquense must overcome a poor run of results to avoid another defeat against this opponent.
Team Form
Conquense come into this match on the back of two consecutive losses, both against UD Ourense (0-2 and 1-0). Their last five results read L, L, D, W, W, showing inconsistency. Earlier wins against Real Madrid C (0-1) and CD Tenerife B (1-0) offered hope, but the recent defeats have dented confidence.
CF Rayo Majadahonda, on the other hand, are in excellent shape. Their last five matches produced four wins and one draw (W, D, W, W, W), including a 3-0 victory over Rayo Vallecano B and a 0-1 away win at Elche Ilicitano. They are unbeaten in this stretch, scoring freely and keeping three clean sheets.
Head-to-Head Record
These two sides have faced each other twice before in the Segunda Federacion, and CF Rayo Majadahonda have a perfect record. On Sep 7, 2025, they won 1-0 away at Conquense, and on Jan 12, 2025, they claimed a thrilling 3-2 victory on the same ground. Conquense are yet to record a win in this fixture, highlighting the visitors' psychological edge.
League Table Positions
No league table data is available for this fixture. The form and head-to-head statistics are the primary basis for this prediction.
Win Probability: Conquense or CF Rayo Majadahonda?
Our probability model, built entirely on the available stats, gives CF Rayo Majadahonda a 50% chance of winning. Conquense are rated at 25%, and the draw also stands at 25%. The visitors are heavy favorites because of their superior form (unbeaten in five) and a flawless H2H record. Conquense's home advantage is factored in, but even that only reduces the away win likelihood from a higher base; a draw remains a plausible outcome if the hosts can tighten up defensively.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are supplied in the data for this match. However, based purely on the form and H2H analysis, CF Rayo Majadahonda would be the clear market favorite. Our match prediction is a CF Rayo Majadahonda win, with a draw as the next most likely result. The visitors' attacking rhythm suggests they can breach Conquense's defence, while the home side must improve significantly to avoid a third straight defeat.
Conquense vs CF Rayo Majadahonda โ FAQ
- Who will win Conquense vs CF Rayo Majadahonda?
- CF Rayo Majadahonda is the favorite with a 50% win probability, compared to 25% for Conquense and 25% for a draw. This is based on their excellent recent form and a perfect head-to-head record against Conquense.
- What is the win probability for CF Rayo Majadahonda?
- CF Rayo Majadahonda has a 50% chance of winning. Their strong form (four wins and a draw in the last five) and three straight victories in previous meetings with Conquense make them the likely winners.
- When is the Conquense vs CF Rayo Majadahonda match?
- The match takes place on Jan 18, 2026, at 16:30 (UTC). It is a Segunda Federacion fixture in Spain.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmaker odds are not available in the provided data. The win probabilities (50% CF Rayo Majadahonda, 25% draw, 25% Conquense) were estimated from team form and head-to-head record.