The Club Almagro Reserves vs Talleres Remedios Reserves prediction for the Primera Nacional. Reserve League match on Jul 16, 2026, points to a tight contest. Our analysis gives Club Almagro Reserves a 42% chance of winning, a draw at 33%, and Talleres Remedios Reserves a 25% chance. Read on for detailed Club Almagro Reserves vs Talleres Remedios Reserves betting tips, odds, and head-to-head stats.
Club Almagro Reserves come into this match with a mixed recent record. In their last five games, they have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses (L, L, W, D, D). Their most recent outing was a 0-3 home defeat to Nueva Chicago Reserves on Jul 8, 2026. Before that, they lost 1-2 away to Chacarita Juniors Reserves on Jun 24. However, they did secure a 3-1 home victory over Colegiales Reserves on Jun 18, and held CA Atlanta Reserves (0-0 on Jun 3) and Deportivo Moron Reserves (0-0 on May 28) to draws. At home, they have managed one win and two draws in their last three, but the heavy loss to Nueva Chicago is a concern.
Talleres Remedios Reserves have struggled for consistency, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches (D, L, L, W, L). They drew 1-1 away at CA Atlanta Reserves on Jul 8, but lost 1-2 at home to Deportivo Moron Reserves on Jun 25 and 0-1 away to Acassuso Reserves on Jun 17. Their sole win came against Tristan Suarez Reserves (1-0 at home on Jun 4). Defensively, they have kept only one clean sheet in those five games, and away from home they have lost three of their last five.
These two sides have met only once before, on Jul 3, 2025, in the same competition. Club Almagro Reserves won that away fixture 1-0. That victory gives them a psychological edge heading into this encounter.
Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Club Almagro Reserves – 42%, draw – 33%, Talleres Remedios Reserves – 25%. The raw odds of 2.15 (home), 2.05 (draw), and 3.60 (away) imply probabilities of 37.8%, 39.6%, and 22.6% after removing the bookmaker margin. However, we adjust these figures to account for Club Almagro Reserves’ home advantage and their 1-0 win in the only previous meeting. Talleres Remedios Reserves’ poor away form (one win in last five) further reduces their chances. Therefore, the final probabilities give a moderate edge to the home side, while the draw remains a strong possibility.
The best available odds for this match are: Club Almagro Reserves win at 2.15, draw at 2.05, and Talleres Remedios Reserves win at 3.60. Bookmakers see the draw as the most probable result, but our analysis suggests Club Almagro Reserves has a slightly higher chance of winning. Considering the stats, the most likely outcomes are a home win or a draw. Our Club Almagro Reserves vs Talleres Remedios Reserves prediction: Club Almagro Reserves to win or draw, with under 2.5 goals likely given both teams’ recent struggles in front of goal.