Mitundu Baptist - CIVO United prediction 30 May 2026

Our CIVO United vs Mitundu Baptist prediction for this National Division League match on May 30 answers who will win. Based on the available head-to-head data and team form, we give CIVO United a 32% chance of winning, a 28% chance for the draw, and a 40% win probability for Mitundu Baptist.

Team Form

CIVO United's recent form has been inconsistent: in their last five matches, they recorded one win, one draw, and three losses. Their last result was a 1-0 away defeat against Red Lions on Jul 05. Before that, they secured a 1-0 away win at Creck SC on Jun 28, and drew 1-1 at home to Silver Strikers on Jun 20. The losses both came with a 3-0 scoreline against Mitundu Baptist and a 1-0 home defeat to Karonga United.

Mitundu Baptist's recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. They drew 0-0 at home to Ekhaya FC on Jul 05. Before that, they won an impressive 3-2 home victory against Blue Eagles Malawi on Jun 27. Their other win in this sequence was a dominant 3-0 home win against CIVO United, while they suffered away losses to Moyale Barracks (2-0) and Red Lions (1-0).

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams shows a clear advantage for Mitundu Baptist based on their only previous meeting. In that match, played on May 30 in the National Division League, Mitundu Baptist defeated CIVO United 3-0 at home. This gives Mitundu Baptist one away win in the fixture, with no draws and no wins for CIVO United.

League Table Positions

In the overall National Division League standings, CIVO United sit 9th with 11 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), scoring 6 goals and conceding 8. Mitundu Baptist are 10th with 10 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses), with 8 goals scored and 10 conceded. The table is very tight, with just one point separating the two sides, but Mitundu Baptist's superior goal-scoring record gives them a slight edge despite the lower position.

Looking at home and away splits, Mitundu Baptist have been strong at home, ranked 8th with 9 points from 4 games (3 wins, 1 loss). CIVO United's away form is their strength, ranked 4th with 6 points from 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses).

Win Probability: CIVO United or Mitundu Baptist?

Based on the analysis of head-to-head, form, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities for this match as follows: CIVO United has a 32% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Mitundu Baptist has a 40% chance of winning. The head-to-head record is the strongest indicator here, with Mitundu Baptist having won the only previous meeting 3-0. Mitundu Baptist's recent form is also slightly better, including a win against a top side. However, CIVO United's decent away record adds some uncertainty, which is reflected in the draw and home-win probabilities. The conclusion is that Mitundu Baptist are more likely to win, but it's not a high-confidence prediction given the overall league table parity.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are currently available for this match in the provided data. Our match prediction, based purely on the stats, leans towards an away win. The significant 3-0 victory for Mitundu Baptist in the only previous encounter heavily influences our view. Given CIVO United's recent goalscoring struggles and Mitundu Baptist's demonstrated ability to beat them, we predict another win for Mitundu Baptist.