The Friendly Clubs match between Chornomorets Odesa and LNZ Cherkasy kicks off on July 25, 2025, at 10:00 UTC. Our Chornomorets Odesa vs LNZ Cherkasy prediction sees LNZ Cherkasy with a 40% win probability, while the draw and a home win both sit at 30%.
Chornomorets Odesa come into this friendly unbeaten in their last five matches (W-W-D-D-W) in the Persha Liga. They secured a 1-0 win over Metalist Kharkiv, a 3-1 away victory at Bukovyna Chernivtsi, two draws (0-0 vs Livyi Bereh, 2-2 vs FC Chernihiv), and a 3-0 home win over Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk. The team has been solid defensively and is in good rhythm.
LNZ Cherkasy have been even more impressive in recent friendlies, winning four of their last five (W-W-W-W-L). They beat Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0, MTK Budapest 4-0, Koper 2-1, and Sturm Graz 6-2, before a narrow 0-1 loss to Hajduk Split. Their attacking output is high, averaging 2.6 goals per game in those wins.
In the last four meetings, Chornomorets Odesa have won three times, while LNZ Cherkasy have one victory. The most recent clash, also a friendly, ended 2-1 in favor of Chornomorets. The head-to-head record shows Chornomorets’ dominance, with three wins and no draws.
This is a friendly match, so no current league table positions are available for either team.
Based on the available data, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Chornomorets Odesa win — 30%, draw — 30%, LNZ Cherkasy win — 40%. The reasoning takes into account LNZ’s excellent recent friendly form (four wins in five) and Chornomorets’ home advantage and superior head-to-head record (3-1). The close nature of the numbers reflects a balanced contest, but LNZ’s sharpness in pre-season friendlies gives them a slight edge.
No bookmaker odds are available for this match in our data. Our prediction is based purely on team form and head-to-head stats. LNZ Cherkasy are slight favorites to win, but a draw is also a likely outcome given Chornomorets’ resilience at home. Betting tips: a cautious approach may be to back LNZ Cherkasy double chance or under 2.5 goals.