Uzbekistan Women - China Women prediction 6 March 2026

The China Women vs Uzbekistan Women prediction for this AFC Asian Cup Qualification Women match on March 06, 2026, at 08:00 UTC points to China Women as the clear favorite. Based on the historical head-to-head dominance and stronger overall squad, China Women has a 70% win probability, compared to 15% for Uzbekistan Women and a 15% chance of a draw.

Team Form

China Women come into this match with inconsistent form, recording one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings (W, D, L, L, L). Their most recent match was a 0-1 home loss to Russia Women, and they also lost 1-2 to Australia Women in this competition. Defensive frailties have been evident, with just one clean sheet in that run.

Uzbekistan Women have also struggled, with two wins and three losses in their last five (W, L, L, W, L). They suffered a heavy 0-6 defeat to Korea Republic Women and a 0-2 loss to Philippines Women in qualifiers, but did manage a 4-0 win over Bangladesh Women. A 0-1 friendly loss to Thailand Women was their latest result.

Head-to-Head Record

This fixture has been historically one-sided. In four previous meetings, China Women have won all four, and Uzbekistan Women have never secured a draw or a victory. The most recent clash was on March 06, 2026, where China Women won 3-0. The aggregate score across the last three meetings is 15-0, highlighting an enormous gulf in class and China's ability to keep clean sheets in this matchup.

League Table Positions

Both teams are competing in the AFC Asian Cup Qualification Women. While specific table positions and points are not available in the provided data, the head-to-head dominance and the 3-0 win for China Women in the last encounter strongly suggest a higher standing and superior overall quality for the Chinese side within the Asian confederation.

Win Probability: China Women or Uzbekistan Women?

Based on the available data and the complete head-to-head sweep, the win probabilities have been calculated. We estimate China Women has a 70% chance of winning, the draw is at 15%, and Uzbekistan Women has a 15% chance. The form tables show both teams being inconsistent, but the massive quality gap evident in the H2H record (15-0 in the last three matches) heavily weights the probability towards the home side. China Women's superior finishing and defensive record specifically against this opponent make an upset highly unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific bookmaker odds were not available in the dataset for this market. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would see China Women as the strong favorite. The final China Women vs Uzbekistan Women prediction is a comfortable win for the home side. China Women have a perfect record against this opponent and are highly likely to secure another victory, likely keeping a clean sheet in the process.