Chemal - Nouakchott Academie prediction 2 February 2026

Looking for a Chemal vs Nouakchott Academie prediction? The Mauritanian Division 1 match kicks off on Feb 02 at 16:00 and is set to be a closely contested affair. According to our analysis, Chemal holds a 35% chance of winning, the draw stands at 35%, and Nouakchott Academie has a 30% probability.

Team Form

Chemal enter this fixture with strong momentum, having won four of their last five matches overall (W, W, W, L, W). In their most recent outings, they beat Tevragh-Zeine 1-0 in the Cup and Pompier 1-0 at home, and secured an impressive 5-3 away victory at Inter Nouakchott. The only setback was a 3-4 home loss to Nouakchott Kings. At home, Chemal have recorded a mixed record this season, sitting 7th in the home table with 19 points from 13 games.

Nouakchott Academie are in equally good shape, unbeaten in their last five matches (W, D, W, W, D). They claimed a 2-1 home win over ASC Snim, drew 0-0 away at Pompier, and beat Inter Nouakchott 2-0. Their away form is solid: they rank 5th in the away standings, losing only twice all season on the road and conceding just 7 goals in 13 away games.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met once this season, with Chemal winning 2-1 at Nouakchott Academie's ground on October 17, 2025. That result gives Chemal a psychological edge, though the tight nature of that game suggests this return fixture could be another narrow battle.

League Table Positions

In the overall Division 1 standings, Nouakchott Academie sit 5th with 39 points (10 wins, 9 draws, 7 losses), three points ahead of 6th-placed Chemal (10 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses, 36 points). Chemal's home form ranks 7th (5W 4D 4L), while Nouakchott Academie's away form is 5th (4W 7D 2L). The minimal gap in points and similar goal differences (Chemal: 34-35, Nouakchott Academie: 32-22) underline how evenly matched these teams are.

Win Probability: Chemal or Nouakchott Academie?

We have calculated the outcome probabilities based on a blend of league standings, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. Here are the chances:

• Chemal win: 35%
• Draw: 35%
• Nouakchott Academie win: 30%

The 35-35-30 split reflects the deadlock between these teams. Chemal's slight edge comes from playing at home and their previous H2H victory, but Nouakchott Academie's higher league position and unbeaten run cancel that out to a large degree. The draw is a very real possibility, as shown by both teams' records – Chemal have drawn 4 of 13 home games, and the visitors have drawn 7 of 13 away matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are available in this data set, but based on our probability model, Chemal would be regarded as a marginal favourite. Bookmakers would likely price the home win around 2.85, the draw around 2.85, and the away win near 3.30.

Our Chemal vs Nouakchott Academie prediction: a stalemate is the most probable result. However, given the fine margins, a narrow home victory cannot be ruled out. Bettors may find value in the draw market.