Hampton & Richmond - Chelmsford City prediction 14 February 2026

The Chelmsford City vs Hampton & Richmond prediction for the National League South match on Feb 14, 2026, points to a home victory. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Chelmsford City has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Hampton & Richmond has a 20% chance.

Team Form

Chelmsford City's recent form has been inconsistent, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches (L, W, D, D, D). They suffered a 1-3 home defeat to Eastbourne Borough on Apr 25, but bounced back with a 2-0 away win at Chesham United on Apr 18. Three consecutive draws followed: 3-3 at AFC Hornchurch, 1-1 at home to Maidenhead United, and 3-3 at Dagenham & Redbridge. At home, Chelmsford have managed just one win in their last two, with a loss and a draw.

Hampton & Richmond's last five results show two wins, one draw, and two losses (W, L, D, L, W). They beat Enfield Town 1-0 at home and Farnborough 3-1 at home, but lost heavily 0-4 at Ebbsfleet United and 1-2 at Maidenhead United. Their away form is a clear weakness, with two defeats in the last two road trips and no away win in that spell.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these sides shows 7 home wins, 4 draws, and 9 away wins. In recent meetings, Chelmsford City have the upper hand. They won the most recent clash 3-1 away at Hampton & Richmond on Feb 14, 2026, and also secured a 1-0 home victory on Nov 8, 2025. Hampton & Richmond's last win in this fixture was a 3-2 home success on Dec 14, 2024. The last five encounters have produced two Chelmsford wins, one Hampton win, and one draw.

League Table Positions

Chelmsford City finished the season 10th in the National League South with 73 points from 46 games (21 wins, 10 draws, 15 losses). They scored 73 goals and conceded 62. Notably, Chelmsford were strong on the road, ranking 3rd in the away table with 35 points from 23 away matches. Hampton & Richmond are not in the top 12 of the overall standings, indicating a lower league position. Their away form has been poor, as reflected by recent results.

Win Probability: Chelmsford City or Hampton & Richmond?

Chelmsford City has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Hampton & Richmond has a 20% chance. This probability is based on several factors: Chelmsford's higher league position, their recent head-to-head dominance (two straight wins), and home advantage. However, Chelmsford's shaky home form (one loss and one draw in the last two at home) and Hampton's poor away performances (two consecutive away losses) increase the likelihood of a draw. Still, the overall data strongly favors a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are currently not available. Based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Chelmsford City as the favorite. Our prediction is a home win for Chelmsford City, with a possible 2-1 scoreline. The head-to-head trend and league gap make Chelmsford the more probable winner, but Hampton & Richmond could find the net given Chelmsford's defensive vulnerabilities.