Forward Madison FC - Chattanooga Red Wolves prediction 11 October 2025
Forward Madison FC
Chattanooga Red WolvesForward Madison FC
Richmond KickersForward Madison FCUnion OmahaSpokane VelocityForward Madison FCForward Madison FCNew York CosmosForward Madison FCFort WayneForward Madison FCAC BoiseIndy ElevenForward Madison FCGreenville TriumphForward Madison FCForward Madison FCCorpus ChristiCharlotte IndependenceForward Madison FCForward Madison FCDetroit CityAV Alta FCForward Madison FCSarasota ParadiseForward Madison FCLexington SCForward Madison FCNew York CosmosForward Madison FCCharlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesAV Alta FCSan Antonio FCChattanooga Red WolvesCorpus ChristiChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesWestchester SCChattanooga Red WolvesFC NaplesPortland Hearts of PineChattanooga Red WolvesOne KnoxvilleChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red WolvesRichmond KickersUnion OmahaChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesBirmingham LegionChattanooga Red WolvesSarasota ParadiseAC BoiseChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesCorpus ChristiForward Madison FCChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesForward Madison FCChattanooga Red WolvesForward Madison FCForward Madison FCChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesForward Madison FCForward Madison FCChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesForward Madison FCForward Madison FCChattanooga Red WolvesForward Madison FCChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesForward Madison FCChattanooga Red WolvesForward Madison FCForward Madison FCChattanooga Red Wolves| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  One Knoxville | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30:16 | +14 | 33 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 27:20 | +7 | 32 |
| 3 |  Charlotte Independence | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:22 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Alta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | +5 | 28 |
| 5 |  AC Boise | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:24 | +1 | 27 |
| 6 |  Fort Wayne | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | +10 | 27 |
| 7 | Forward Madison FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | +12 | 26 |
| 8 |  Spokane Velocity | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 9 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 |
| 10 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |  Corpus Christi | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17:28 | -11 | 18 |
| 13 |  FC Naples | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 |  Westchester SC | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 15 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:24 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 |  Richmond Kickers | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:30 | -18 | 12 |
| 17 |  New York Cosmos | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 11 |
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison FC Prediction (Oct 11)
The USL League One clash between Chattanooga Red Wolves and Forward Madison FC on Oct 11, 2025, sees the visitors as slight favourites. Based on league standings, recent form, and head-to-head data, Forward Madison FC hold a 40% win probability, while the draw and a Chattanooga Red Wolves victory each sit at 30%.
Team Form
Chattanooga Red Wolves come into this match with a mixed recent record. In their last five outings, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss (L, W, W, W, D). Their most recent match ended in a 2-1 away defeat to Corpus Christi. Before that, they secured consecutive home wins against Westchester SC (2-0) and FC Naples (1-0), and an away victory at Portland Hearts of Pine (2-1).
Forward Madison FC have been in slightly stronger form. Their last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss (W, W, D, W, L). They started the period with a 2-0 away defeat at Indy Eleven in the USL Cup, but responded with a 5-1 home thrashing of AC Boise, a 1-1 home draw with Fort Wayne, a 3-1 home win over New York Cosmos, and a 1-0 away win at Spokane Velocity.
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, this fixture has been very evenly balanced. In all meetings, the home side has won 4 times, the away side has won 5, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent encounter before this match took place on Aug 6, 2025, where Chattanooga Red Wolves won 2-1 at home. Earlier in 2025, they drew 1-1 at home in the USL Cup, while Forward Madison won 2-1 at home in October 2024. The pattern suggests a tight contest with no clear dominance.
League Table Positions
Forward Madison FC sit higher in the USL League One overall standings. They occupy 7th place with 23 points from 13 games (7 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), while Chattanooga Red Wolves are 10th with 19 points from 12 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). The away form of Forward Madison is particularly strong: they rank 2nd in the away table, having collected 13 points from 9 road trips. Chattanooga Red Wolves' home form is not among the top eight in the league, leaving them at a slight disadvantage despite playing at home.
Win Probability: Chattanooga Red Wolves or Forward Madison FC?
After evaluating all available data, we assign the following outcome probabilities:
- Chattanooga Red Wolves win: 30%
- Draw: 30%
- Forward Madison FC win: 40%
Forward Madison FC are the more likely winner because they are higher in the table, have a better points-per-game average, boast an excellent away record, and enter the match in slightly stronger recent form. The head-to-head record also shows a slight bias towards away victories. Chattanooga Red Wolves' home advantage and the competitive history keep the draw and home win probabilities plausible.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds were available for this fixture. Nevertheless, based purely on the statistical analysis, Forward Madison FC are the marginal favourites. The prediction is a narrow away win or a draw, with the visitors having the best chance of claiming all three points.
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison FC — FAQ
- Who will win Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison FC?
- Forward Madison FC have a 40% chance to win, while Chattanooga Red Wolves have a 30% chance, and the draw is also at 30%. The visitors are slight favourites based on their higher league position, better away form, and recent results.
- What is the win probability for Forward Madison FC?
- Forward Madison FC hold a 40% win probability. This is calculated from their superior overall and away standings in USL League One, coupled with a head-to-head record that shows a slight edge for away teams in this fixture.
- When is the Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison FC match?
- The match takes place on Oct 11, 2025, at 22:00 (UTC). It is a USL League One fixture from the USA.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds for this match were not available. All predictions are based on team form, league table data, and head-to-head statistics.
- What is the head-to-head record between Chattanooga Red Wolves and Forward Madison FC?
- In all meetings, the home side has won 4 times, the away side has won 5, and there have been 3 draws. Recent results include a 2-1 home win for Chattanooga Red Wolves in August 2025 and a 1-1 draw in May 2025.