Chattanooga Red Wolves - AV Alta FC prediction 15 July 2026
Chattanooga Red Wolves
AV Alta FC
Charlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesAV Alta FCSan Antonio FCChattanooga Red WolvesCorpus ChristiChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesWestchester SCChattanooga Red WolvesFC NaplesPortland Hearts of PineChattanooga Red WolvesOne KnoxvilleChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red WolvesRichmond KickersUnion OmahaChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesBirmingham LegionChattanooga Red WolvesSarasota ParadiseAC BoiseChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesCorpus ChristiOne KnoxvilleAV Alta FCChattanooga Red WolvesAV Alta FCAV Alta FCPhoenix RisingAV Alta FCCharlotte IndependenceUnion OmahaAV Alta FCCorpus ChristiAV Alta FCGreenville TriumphAV Alta FCAV Alta FCSpokane VelocityAV Alta FCSarasota ParadiseAV Alta FCOrange County Blue StarFort WayneAV Alta FCEl Paso LocomotiveAV Alta FCAV Alta FCNew York CosmosSarasota ParadiseAV Alta FCAV Alta FCForward Madison FCChattanooga Red WolvesAV Alta FCAV Alta FCChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesAV Alta FCAV Alta FCChattanooga Red Wolves| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  One Knoxville | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30:16 | +14 | 33 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 27:20 | +7 | 32 |
| 3 |  Charlotte Independence | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:22 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Alta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | +5 | 28 |
| 5 |  AC Boise | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:24 | +1 | 27 |
| 6 |  Fort Wayne | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | +10 | 27 |
| 7 |  Forward Madison FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | +12 | 26 |
| 8 |  Spokane Velocity | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 9 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 |
| 10 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |  Corpus Christi | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17:28 | -11 | 18 |
| 13 |  FC Naples | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 |  Westchester SC | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 15 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:24 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 |  Richmond Kickers | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:30 | -18 | 12 |
| 17 |  New York Cosmos | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 11 |
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta FC Prediction (Jul 15)
The Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta FC prediction for the USL League One match on July 15, 2026, points to a closely contested affair. Based on our analysis, Chattanooga Red Wolves have a 40% chance of winning, the draw probability is 40%, and AV Alta FC holds a 20% chance.
Team Form
Chattanooga Red Wolves come into this match with a mixed recent record: L, L, W, W, W in their last five outings. They have won three of those five, but suffered back-to-back away defeats against San Antonio FC and Corpus Christi. At home, they have been solid, winning their last two league matches without conceding a goal (2-0 vs Westchester SC, 1-0 vs FC Naples).
AV Alta FC's last five results read W, D, L, D, W. They are unbeaten in three of their last five, including a 2-1 home win over Phoenix Rising in the USL Cup. On the road, their recent form shows one win, two draws, and one loss in the last four away matches, with the only defeat coming against Union Omaha.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have faced each other three times. AV Alta FC have the edge with one win (3-2 at home in April 2025), while the other two meetings ended in draws: 0-0 at Chattanooga in August 2025 and 2-2 at AV Alta FC in March 2026. Chattanooga Red Wolves have yet to record a victory in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 10th in the USL League One standings with 19 points from 12 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). AV Alta FC are 4th with 25 points from 16 matches (6 wins, 7 draws, 3 losses). Despite the seven-point gap, Chattanooga have four games in hand and a slightly better points-per-game average (1.58 vs 1.56).
Win Probability: Chattanooga Red Wolves or AV Alta FC?
We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Chattanooga Red Wolves win – 40%, draw – 40%, AV Alta FC win – 20%. These percentages are derived from the average bookmaker odds (home 2.14, draw 2.29, away 4.51), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for the head-to-head record (two draws in three meetings, no Chattanooga win), recent home form, and league positions. The high draw probability reflects the history of stalemates, while Chattanooga's home advantage gives them a slight edge over the visitors.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced this match with home win odds ranging from 2.10 to 2.20, the draw at 2.25–2.30, and an away win at 4.40–4.65. The market clearly sees Chattanooga Red Wolves as the favorite. Our prediction: based on the stats, a draw looks the most likely outcome, but Chattanooga could nick a narrow win if they maintain their strong home defensive record.
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta FC — FAQ
- Who will win Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta FC?
- According to our probability model, Chattanooga Red Wolves have a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 40%, and AV Alta FC have a 20% chance. The match is expected to be tight, with a draw being a very realistic outcome given the head-to-head history.
- What is the win probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves?
- Chattanooga Red Wolves have a 40% win probability. This is based on average bookmaker odds of 2.14 for a home win, adjusted for the team's strong recent home form and the fact that they have never beaten AV Alta FC in three previous meetings.
- When is the Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta FC match?
- The match is scheduled for July 15, 2026, at 23:00 UTC. It is a USL League One fixture, the third-tier professional league in the USA.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds see a home win for Chattanooga Red Wolves priced between 2.10 and 2.20, the draw at 2.25–2.30, and an away win for AV Alta FC at 4.40–4.65. These odds imply the bookmakers have Chattanooga as clear favorites.