Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves prediction 18 July 2026
Charlotte Independence
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Charleston BatteryCharlotte IndependenceAV Alta FCCharlotte IndependenceCharlotte IndependenceCorpus ChristiCharlotte IndependenceGreenville TriumphCharlotte IndependenceFC NaplesCharlotte IndependenceUnion OmahaFC NaplesCharlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte IndependenceCharlotte IndependenceForward Madison FCCharlotte IndependencePittsburgh RiverhoundsCorpus ChristiCharlotte IndependenceCharlotte IndependenceAC BoiseFort WayneCharlotte IndependenceRichmond KickersCharlotte IndependenceOne KnoxvilleCharlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red WolvesAV Alta FCSan Antonio FCChattanooga Red WolvesCorpus ChristiChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesWestchester SCChattanooga Red WolvesFC NaplesPortland Hearts of PineChattanooga Red WolvesOne KnoxvilleChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red WolvesRichmond KickersUnion OmahaChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesBirmingham LegionChattanooga Red WolvesSarasota ParadiseAC BoiseChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesCorpus ChristiChattanooga Red WolvesFort WayneChattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte IndependenceCharlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte IndependenceCharlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte IndependenceCharlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red Wolves| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  One Knoxville | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 33 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25:18 | +7 | 31 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independence | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 34:18 | +16 | 30 |
| 4 |  Forward Madison FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | +12 | 26 |
| 5 |  Alta | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 23:19 | +4 | 25 |
| 6 |  AC Boise | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 |  Fort Wayne | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 |  Spokane Velocity | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 23 |
| 9 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23:15 | +8 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17:28 | -11 | 18 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 |  FC Naples | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 |  Westchester SC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Richmond Kickers | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | -16 | 12 |
| 17 |  New York Cosmos | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 10 |
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction (Jul 18)
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves prediction for the USL League One match on Jul 18, 2026. Based on our analysis, Charlotte Independence has a 60% chance to win, with a draw at 25% and Chattanooga Red Wolves at 15%.
Team Form
Charlotte Independence enter this match unbeaten in their last five outings (W3 D2). The home side recorded three consecutive victories before two away draws: a 2-2 at Charleston Battery and a 1-1 at AV Alta FC. Their most recent home match was a 2-1 win over Corpus Christi on Jul 01. Overall, Charlotte have scored 34 goals in 14 league games, the highest in the division.
Chattanooga Red Wolves have won three of their last five matches (W3 L2). After back-to-back away defeats at San Antonio FC (0-2) and Corpus Christi (1-2), they bounced back with three straight wins: 2-0 vs Westchester SC, 1-0 vs FC Naples, and a 2-1 away victory at Portland Hearts of Pine. The away form remains a concern, with two losses in their last three road trips.
Head-to-Head Record
In seven previous meetings, the home side has won three times, with two draws and two away wins. The most recent clash on May 30, 2026, saw Charlotte Independence win 3-2 at Chattanooga Red Wolves. The last five H2H results are:
- May 30, 2026: Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-3 Charlotte Independence
- Oct 17, 2025: Charlotte Independence 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Sep 06, 2025: Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 Charlotte Independence
- Mar 28, 2025: Charlotte Independence 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Sep 09, 2023: Charlotte Independence 3-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
The head-to-head record shows a slight edge for the home team, with three wins in seven matches.
League Table Positions
Charlotte Independence sit 2nd in the USL League One standings with 30 points from 14 matches (9W, 3D, 2L). They have a perfect home record: six wins from six, scoring 16 goals and conceding only five. Chattanooga Red Wolves are 10th with 19 points from 12 games (6W, 1D, 5L). Their away form is not listed in the top eight, but recent away results include two losses and one win in the last three road matches.
Win Probability: Charlotte Independence or Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Charlotte Independence has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Chattanooga Red Wolves has a 15% chance. This probability is based on league positions, home advantage, and recent form. Charlotte’s perfect home record (6-0-0) and second-place standing give them a significant edge. Chattanooga’s inconsistent away performances and lower table position reduce their chances, though their three-match winning streak shows they can compete. The head-to-head history also favors the home side, with three home wins in seven encounters.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not available in the provided data. Based on the statistical analysis, Charlotte Independence are the clear favorites. Our prediction: Charlotte Independence to win. The home side’s strong defensive record at home (only five goals conceded in six games) and high-scoring attack (34 goals in 14 matches) make them the likely winners. A draw cannot be ruled out given Charlotte’s two recent stalemates, but the probability strongly points to a home victory.
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves — FAQ
- Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
- Charlotte Independence are the favorites with a 60% win probability. The draw has a 25% chance, while Chattanooga Red Wolves have a 15% chance of winning. The prediction is based on Charlotte’s perfect home record and higher league position.
- What is the win probability for Charlotte Independence?
- Charlotte Independence have a 60% chance to win this match. This high probability reflects their six wins from six home games, second place in the league table, and an unbeaten run of five matches.
- When is the Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves match?
- The match is scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, at 23:00 UTC. It is a USL League One fixture, the third tier of professional soccer in the USA.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds for this match are not available in the current data. Without bookmaker prices, our prediction relies on team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, all of which point to a home win for Charlotte Independence.