Valentine - Charlestown City Blues prediction 25 July 2026

Valentine vs Charlestown City Blues prediction: the NPL NNSW match on Jul 25 sees Valentine as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Charlestown City Blues have a 25% chance and the draw is at 30%. The game kicks off at 06:30 and Valentine will look to use home advantage to climb the table.

Team Form

Valentine's last five matches show mixed results: a 3-2 home win over Kahibah FC, a 1-3 away loss to Cooks Hill United, a 1-1 home draw with Lambton Jaffas, a 2-1 home win against Edgeworth Eagles, and a 0-1 away defeat at Maitland FC. That gives them two wins, one draw, and two losses. At home, they have been inconsistent, scoring 10 goals in 9 home games this season.

Charlestown City Blues are struggling. Their last five outings: a 0-0 home draw with Edgeworth Eagles, a 0-5 home loss to Weston Workers Bears, a 0-4 away loss at Cooks Hill United, a 0-0 home draw with Weston Workers Bears, and a 1-7 away thrashing by Newcastle Olympic. They have failed to win any of those five, picking up just two draws and conceding 16 goals.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met three times in recent NPL NNSW history, with the record perfectly balanced: one win for Valentine, one draw, and one win for Charlestown City Blues. The most recent clash was on Apr 26, 2026, when Valentine won 2-1 away at Charlestown. The other two meetings were a 0-0 draw in July 2025 and a 5-1 away win for Charlestown in April 2025. Goals have flowed in this fixture, with 9 scored in the three games.

League Table Positions

Valentine sit 8th in the 12-team NPL NNSW with 19 points from 18 matches (5 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses). They have scored 18 goals and conceded 36. Charlestown City Blues are bottom (12th) with 14 points from 18 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 12 losses), scoring 24 and conceding 49. At home, Valentine have earned only 9 points from 9 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses), while Charlestown's away form is poor – they have the worst defensive record in the league.

Win Probability: Valentine or Charlestown City Blues?

Based on form, league positions, and home advantage, Valentine have a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Charlestown City Blues have a 25% chance. Valentine's home record is not dominant, but Charlestown's recent performances – especially defensively – give the hosts a clear edge. The head-to-head balance and Valentine's slightly better goal difference support this probability split. A draw is a realistic outcome given both teams' inconsistency.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture at the time of writing. Based on the stats, Valentine are the predicted winners, but the match could be closer than the table suggests. A low-scoring affair is possible, with under 2.5 goals likely given Valentine's average of 1.0 goals per home game and Charlestown's leaky defence on the road. Our prediction: Valentine to win, but a draw is a strong alternative.